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Abhishek Jha

Abhishek Jha is a data journalist. He analyses public data for finding news, with a focus on the environment, Indian politics and economy, and Covid-19.

Articles by Abhishek Jha

In national politics, where does the BJP stand

Having lost the high stake battle to the TMC, the BJP will remain formidable — as a party which controls most of India’s Hindi speaking and northeastern states along with its traditional bastion of Gujarat and the politically turbulent southern state of Karnataka — but short of its goal

Representational Image. (File photo)
Updated on May 12, 2021 09:38 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha

Q1 2021-22 headed towards an ominous convergence with Q1 2020-21

What will be the economic impact of the second wave? We are still in the first quarter of fiscal year 2021-22. A lot will depend on the time it takes for the second wave to peak and how fast India can vaccinate its population

A man sits outside a closed shop during restrictions imposed by the Maharashtra government amid rising Covid-19 cases, in Mumbai. (File photo)
Updated on May 11, 2021 04:15 PM IST
ByRoshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha

Testing limited to urban clusters in Uttar Pradesh?

Official numbers in UP appear to contradict ground reports that testing is inadequate. Could tests being limited to some areas be skewing the data?

One reason for UP’s official numbers showing testing as adequate despite ground reports suggesting otherwise could be that the large-scale testing is limited to a few areas, cities, or districts.(PTI)
Updated on May 08, 2021 08:40 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha

Second wave spreading much faster in rural India than first

In the first four days of May, rural areas have contributed 1.39 times the number of new cases as urban areas.

During the first wave, urban areas contributed a majority of new infections in India every month for five months from March 2020 to July 2020, before rural areas started contributing more new cases.(PTI)
Published on May 08, 2021 01:25 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

3 crucial takeaways from Bengal results

Of the 292 ACs for which results have been declared, TMC and BJP won 290 . This is unprecedented in the history of the state and suggests that this election was the most polarised election West Bengal has ever seen.

The TMC’s emphatic victory does not mean that there was no communal polarisation in these elections. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri(REUTERS)
Updated on May 04, 2021 07:26 AM IST
By, Abhishek Jha

Four key messages from the election results

There is no denying the fact that TMC’s big victory is a huge achievement for Mamata Banerjee, especially when seen in the backdrop of the reverses her party suffered in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

All India Trinamool Congress’s (TMC) victory in West Bengal has belied all predictions(AFP)
Updated on May 03, 2021 08:32 AM IST
By, Abhishek Jha

TMC covers ground after Lok Sabha polls fright

The trends indicate that the TMC has made gains since the 2019 Lok Sabha polls and the BJP has lost ground.

At an AC-wise level, the TMC and BJP lead in 164 and 121 ACs in 2019, while the Left-Congress alliance lead in nine. (Photo by Samir Jana/Hindustan Times)(Samir Jana/HT Photo)
Updated on May 03, 2021 08:32 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, , New Delhi

Pro-incumbency stops 2019-like roll out

The decision of the DMK and the AIADMK to contest more seats in these elections than in 2019 has also yielded different results in terms of strike rates.

One of the reasons behind the AIADMK’s relative comeback -- it has still lost the elections with a big margin between 2019 and 2021 -- could be the government’s handling of the Covid-19 crisis. (PTI Photo)(PTI)
Updated on May 03, 2021 08:33 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, , New Delhi

Assam Election: Trends suggest deepening polarisation across state

The Congress, the main opposition party that ruled the state for 15 years from 2001 to 2016, has managed a seat share in the region of 20% for the fourth consecutive time in these elections.

To be sure, the 2021 political alignment in the state was very different from 2016 and 2019. (PTI Photo) (PTI)
Updated on May 03, 2021 08:37 AM IST
By, Abhishek Jha, New Delhi

LDF’s response to crises led to its return to power in Kerala

The current LDF government’s tenure was among the most crisis-ridden in the state’s history

LDF supporters celebrate the party's victory during the election result day for the Kerala Assembly Polls, in Thiruvananthapuram on Sunday. (ANI Photo)
Updated on May 03, 2021 08:36 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha,

Covid-19: Cost of vaccinating the 18-44 population

So far, seven state governments have declared that they will provide free vaccines

The Centre will continue to acquire vaccines, which may be used to vaccinate the 45-plus population or to supply to state governments.(File Photo / HT)
Updated on Apr 23, 2021 12:25 PM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, Vineet Sachdev, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

57% of India under curbs as deaths soar on Black Friday

Record cases added across the country even as tighter restrictions kick in.

Gateway of India wears a deserted look following restrictions imposed by the state government, amidst rising Covid-19 cases, in Mumbai.(Kunal Patil / PTI)
Updated on Apr 17, 2021 06:14 AM IST
ByVineet Sachdev, Abhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

How will the second Covid wave affect India’s economy?

The curve of Covid-19 cases and mobility trends will have a direct bearing on the level of economic activity. India’s GDP went down by 24.4% in the quarter ending June 2020. According to the second advance estimates, 2020-21 is expected to suffer a GDP contraction of 7.96%

Representational image. (AFP)
Updated on Apr 15, 2021 05:10 PM IST
ByRoshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha

Covid-19: The state of R in India

The effective R number takes into account factors relating to how the virus jumps from person to person (for instance, the basic infectivity if the virus, the probability of an actual infection during contact, and the duration of contagiousness.)

A health worker collects a swab sample for coronavirus test, at Nizamuddin Railway Station, in New Delhi, India.(Amal KS/HT Photo)
Published on Apr 14, 2021 08:32 AM IST
By, Abhishek Jha

The Number Theory: Where is the second Covid-19 wave bigger than the first?

Is the second wave larger than the first everywhere or is that the case only in a few states? Has the rate of testing caught up with this higher second wave? HT analyses Covid-19 data to find out.

Visitors flout social distancing norms, at Sarojini Nagar market, in New Delhi, India, on Monday, April 12, 2021. (Photo by Amal KS/ Hindustan Times)
Updated on Apr 14, 2021 07:11 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, New Delhi

Decoding the 4th phase of voting in West Bengal

Voting in West Bengal has so far remained confined to the southern and western regions of the state. Saturday is the first time polling will take place in the northern half of the state.

203 of 294 assembly constituencies (ACs) in West Bengal will vote in five more phases until April 29.(ANI file photo)
Updated on Apr 10, 2021 07:18 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

Covid-19: Urban hot spots drive surge, in greater need of jab scale-up

Nearly half (48%) of all Covid-19 cases reported in India in March are from urban areas, which are home to just 14% of the population, with cities having the largest proportion of new infections since June 2020, according to an analysis by Hindustan Times.

The numbers, experts say, highlight the need to focus sharply on getting the disease under control by expanding the vaccination drive in urban areas, especially large cities.(Sanchit Khanna/HT Photo)
Updated on Apr 08, 2021 05:28 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

Assembly elections: The biggest phase of them all...

All of Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Puducherry vote on April 6. Polling will come to an end in Assam after the last 40 ACs vote on April 6.

ITBP personnel march ahead of the third phase of West Bengal assembly elections, at Dakshin Barasat and Barlipur.
Updated on Apr 06, 2021 04:58 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

Sabarimala to BJP: Key factors at play in Kerala

What has made these elections more unpredictable is the LDF’s strong comeback in the local body polls held in December 2020, where it won a majority of seats at all levels.

A large cutout of Pinarayi Vijayan in Pinarayi Village ahead of the Kerala Assembly election, in Kannur District, Kerala.
Updated on Apr 05, 2021 04:56 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, , New Delhi

Tamil Nadu: An election that is Stalin's to lose

The only person to have retained the chief minister’s post in back-to-back elections in Tamil Nadu before 2016 was Jayalalithaa’s mentor M G Ramachandran.

Members of Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) hold placards with portrait of party president MK Stalin during a rally ahead of the Tamil Nadu state legislative assembly elections in Chennai.(AFP)
Updated on Apr 05, 2021 08:54 AM IST
By, Abhishek Jha

India Covid-19 curve beats US, set to surpass Brazil

In the seven days till Friday, India recorded 68,969 new cases a day on average. On the same day, the US recorded 65,753 while Brazil recorded 72,151 new cases a day over a week’s period.

A worker sanitizes a hotel ahead of its reopening, Unlock 5, amid the coronavirus pandemic, in Pune. (PTI)
Updated on Apr 04, 2021 06:19 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

Factors at play in Bengal, Assam 2nd-phase voting

Here are three charts explaining the importance of the second phase of polling in West Bengal and Assam.

Polling officials leave from a distribution centre in Bankura on the eve of second phase of West Bengal Assembly Elections 2021.(PTI)
Published on Apr 01, 2021 07:33 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, New Delhi

Up in flames: Maharashtra's saga of forest fires

Signs of fire are, in fact, conspicuous along the Murbad-Kalyan highway as one drives toward Shilottar in Thane’s Shahapur taluka

Adityavardhan Pathak, owner of a commercial farm in Thane district, shows a part of his land that was burnt during a wild fire in the beginning of March. “Every year, between February and May, fires break out,” he said. (Satish Bate/HT PHOTO)
Updated on Mar 30, 2021 02:24 PM IST
ByPrayag Arora-Desai, Abhishek Jha, Mumbai

What explains the focus on financial assistance to women in these polls?

In Tamil Nadu, the AIADMK alliance, the DMK alliance and Kamal Haasan’s Makkal Needhi Maiam have announced monthly monetary assistance to women heads of households.

Women stand in a queue to cast their votes during the first phase of elections in Pirakata, West Bengal on Saturday, March 27, 2021.(AP)
Published on Mar 29, 2021 01:56 AM IST
ByVineet Sachdev, Abhishek Jha, New Delhi

Decoding the first phase of West Bengal and Assam elections

Assam will vote in two more phases, to be held on April 1 and April 6. West Bengal will vote in seven more phases and polling will culminate on April 29.

Polling officers stand near electronic voting machines kept at a distribution center ahead of the first phase of elections in West Bengal state in Medinipur, India, Friday, March 26, 2021. The eight phased elections in the state are scheduled to begin on March 27. (AP)
Published on Mar 27, 2021 02:10 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, New Delhi

Second surge of Covid-19 infections quicker than first wave

India on Thursday reported 59,074 new Covid-19 infections, the highest in a single day since October 17, or in 159 days, as the country’s second Covid-19 wave continued to push daily case numbers up to levels not seen since the first wave was brought under control last November.

Devotees pull a chariot carrying Hindu deity Kapaleeswarar during an annual chariot festival, amidst the spread of the coronavirus disease (Covid-19), in Chennai, India, March 25, 2021. (Reuters)
Updated on Mar 26, 2021 04:25 AM IST
By, Abhishek Jha, New Delhi

Can Congress reclaim Assam with an alliance?

The Congress, which ruled the state for 15 years from 2001 to 2016, has changed its electoral tactics and stitched together an alliance to leverage the consolidation of a previously fragmented anti-BJP vote base to recapture power in the state.

Congress leader Priyanka Gandhi during an election campaign rally ahead of Assam assembly polls, in Sivasagar district, Sunday, March 21, 2021.(PTI)
Published on Mar 26, 2021 04:11 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, , New Delhi

Six factors which will decide the 2021 West Bengal contest

West Bengal is expected to be a bipolar contest between the TMC and the BJP. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, these two parties cornered 83.5% of the total votes polled and 97% of the total 294 assembly constituencies, if results are disaggregated at that level

West Bengal chief minister Mamata Banerjee addresses an election rally, at Bankura on Wednesday, March 24. (ANI)
Updated on Mar 25, 2021 02:36 PM IST
ByRoshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi

The role of language and religion in Assam battle

While the state’s politics is driven by many factors, the larger issue is the dynamic between language and religion.

Artists perform Jhumar Dance during Congress leader Priyanka Gandhi Vadra's election campaign rally ahead of Assam Assembly Polls at Purabangla, in Golaghat on Monday. (ANI Photo)
Published on Mar 24, 2021 02:49 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha, , New Delhi

What makes electoral politics in Kerala unique?

Kerala is not the only state where political power changes hands regularly. Tamil Nadu had this tradition for 32 uninterrupted years, until J Jayalalithaa led the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) to a consecutive victory in the 2016 elections.

A worker puts up an election campaign banner of Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, ahead of the Assembly polls, in Kochi. (PTI Photo)
Updated on Mar 20, 2021 06:32 AM IST
By, Abhishek Jha, Hindustan Times, New Delhi
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