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Abhishek Jha

Abhishek Jha is a data journalist. He analyses public data for finding news, with a focus on the environment, Indian politics and economy, and Covid-19.

Articles by Abhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: In Karnataka, coalition math key to Opposition strategy

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 17 out of the 28 seats in Karnataka in the 2014 elections. Karnataka is the only southern state where the BJP has consistently performed well.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 17 out of the 28 seats in Karnataka in the 2014 elections.(AP File Photo)
Updated on May 02, 2020 08:05 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: AIADMK faces test in election after Jayalalithaa era

The AIADMK created history by retaining power in Tamil Nadu by winning the assembly elections twice in a row, 2011 and 2016, ending a two-decade old trend. Tamil Nadu has flipped between the AIADMK and the DMK since 1989.

The results of 2019 polls will not just have a bearing on government formation at the Centre, but also give much needed clarity on the prevailing political uncertainty in the state.(REUTERS)
Updated on Apr 18, 2019 01:28 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: World’s largest-ever election begins. Here is what’s at stake

55-7 to 7-32 between 2009 and 2014. The Congress also lost ground to other parties such as the YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) in Andhra Pradesh. Of the 91 seats,57 are in states where assembly elections have been held after the 2014 Lok Sabha polls.

Lok Sabha elections 2019: World’s biggest election kicks off(Hindustan Times)
Updated on Apr 11, 2019 08:04 AM IST
New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha and Vijdan Mohammad Kawoosa

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Repeating 2014 UP show may prove to be tough for BJP

Unlike in the 2014 Lok Sabha and the 2017 assembly elections – both of which the BJP swept – the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Samajwadi Party (SP) are in an alliance along with the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD), a political party with a footprint in the western part of the state.

A simple addition of SP-BSP votes in 2014 reduces the NDA’s tally of 73 to 37 in Uttar Pradesh.(AFP)
Updated on Apr 09, 2019 07:45 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByRoshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Back in BJP coalition, stakes are highest for Nitish Kumar’s JD(U)

Another interesting statistic which stands out in Bihar is that the vote share of anti-NDA parties has always been close to the two-thirds mark in all elections since the 2004 Lok Sabha polls.

Bihar is headed towards a bipolar contest in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.(Sushil Kumar/HT PHOTO)
Updated on Apr 06, 2019 08:20 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByRoshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Poll history suggests Madhya Pradesh could be a close contest

The Congress increased its seats from 58 to 114 with an increase in vote share which was almost equal to the decline in the BJP’s vote share.

The Congress increased its seats from 58 to 114 with an increase in vote share which was almost equal to the decline in the BJP’s vote share.(PTI FILE)
Published on Apr 06, 2019 07:30 AM IST
New Delhi | ByRoshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Can BJP reverse 2018 election losses in Rajasthan?

While Congress did win the polls, its performance according to many commentators was lacklustre since it only got a 0.5 percentage point lead over BJP in terms of vote share and stopped one short of the halfway mark in the assembly.

Among the three Hindi belt states that went to the polls – Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh – the Congress was expected to have the best prospects in Rajasthan in the 2018 assembly elections.(PTI)
Updated on Apr 04, 2019 11:33 AM IST
New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Oppn ahead on numbers but may find it tough to rout BJP in Karnataka

Adding vote shares of the Congress and JD(S) constituency-wise shows that a pre-poll alliance would not have made much difference in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls. BJP would have lost two additional seats from its tally of 17 to the alliance, but still win a majority (15 of 28) of seats in the state.

statistics suggest that while the Congress-JD(S) alliance could increase its tally in Karnataka, it might not lead to a BJP rout in the state. There is also a long-term complication to the Congress-JD(S) alliance.
Updated on Apr 03, 2019 11:08 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Can YSR Congress retain its 2014 Lok Sabha poll vote share?

If one were to compare contested vote share of the TDP (48.2%) and YSRCP (45.4%) in 2014, the former seems to have a small advantage. To be sure, the TDP figure might not capture the true picture as it would have got BJP votes as well.

YSR Congress President Y S Jaganmohan Reddy addresses a public meeting in Cuddapa(PTI File Photo)
Updated on Mar 30, 2019 02:19 PM IST
Hindustan Times | ByRoshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Congress revival can split anti-BJD votes

The BJP’s post-2009 revival in the state has come at the cost of the Congress, which suffered a big reduction in its seat share and vote share in the 2014 Lok Sabha and assembly elections.

The Congress’s decline continued further in the panchayat polls held in 2017. In the 2012 panchayat elections, the BJP won 36 of 854 seats, while the Congress won 128. In 2017, the BJP won 297 of 845 seats, while the Congress could win only 60.(Arabinda Mahapatra)
Updated on Mar 30, 2019 02:20 PM IST
Hindustan Times | ByAbhishek Jha and Roshan Kishore

BJP’s cow protection pitch may have more takers among non-cattle owners

An overwhelming majority of Hindus have an emotional attachment to cows and consider them holy (which makes the consumption of beef a sacrilege).

BJP’s cow protection pitch may have more takers among non-cattle owners.(PTI Photo)
Updated on Mar 26, 2019 08:18 AM IST
New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Will split in Jat vote hurt the Congress in Haryana?

The strategy of appointing a non-Jat leader is key to the BJP’s social engineering strategy in the state.

Supporters of All-India Jat Arakshan Sangharsh Samiti seen during a sit-in protest demanding for reservation under the Other Backward Classes (OBC) category in government jobs and educational institutions, at Jantar Mantar, in New Delhi on December 21.(HT File Photo)
Published on Mar 23, 2019 08:19 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha

Lok Sabha elections 2019: How the political landscape changed in the last 5 years

The ruling party outperformed the Congress in direct contest states in 2014, but the main opposition party has regained some ground in these areas.

One important factor behind the BJP’s victory in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections was a low degree of Opposition unity.(HT File Photo)
Updated on Mar 11, 2019 04:35 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha and Vijdan Mohammad Kawoosa

Lok Sabha elections 2019: Past performance propels seat-sharing pact of SP, BSP

Out of the 80 Lok Sabha seats in the state, the BSP will contest 38 and the SP 37. The third partner in their alliance, the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD), is expected to contest three seats.

Samajwadi party Chief Akhilesh Yadav greets Bahujan Samaj Party supremo Mayawati on her 63rd birthday at her residence, in Lucknow on January 15.(HT File Photo)
Published on Feb 22, 2019 11:35 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha and Vijdan Mohammad Kawoosa

Why the 25% seat increase for higher education institutions will adversely affect teaching

The seat increase in higher educational institutions without funding can adversely affect the quality of education.

The seat increase in higher educational institutions without funding can adversely affect the quality of education.(Saumya Khandelwal/HT PHOTO)
Published on Feb 13, 2019 04:25 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Google searches for swine flu in north and northwest India highest this year, shows data

An HT analysis of Google Trends data for India has found that past outbreaks of the disease led to an increased interest on it in terms of Google searches.

6,601 cases of swine flu had been recorded across India by February 3 this year.(HT/File Photo)
Updated on Feb 07, 2019 07:36 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Rs 6,000 is 6% of a small farmer’s annual income, according to NSSO data

How significant is Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi (PM-KISAN) scheme? NSSO data may have the answer.

The interim budget 2019-20 announced annual income support of Rs 6,000 to all farmer families with land ownership up to two hectares under the Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi (PM-KISAN).(Mujeeb Faruqui/HT Photo)
Updated on Feb 06, 2019 09:08 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Labour participation dips as more women withdraw from workforce

An HT analysis using the reported findings from the Business Standard story and World Bank population projections shows that the total number of workers in India in 2017-18 is 464.01 million.

Women workers sort onions at a wholesale vegetable market in Bhopal.(PTI)
Updated on Feb 02, 2019 03:07 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Budget: OBC farmers may benefit most from Centre’s agriculture scheme

An HT analysis of a 2013 National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) report on Household Ownership and Operational Holdings in India shows that farmers from the Other Backward Class (OBC) category could be the biggest beneficiaries of this scheme.

An HT analysis of a 2013 National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) report on Household Ownership and Operational Holdings in India shows that farmers from the Other Backward Class (OBC) category could be the biggest beneficiaries of this scheme.(HT PHOTO)
Published on Feb 02, 2019 02:56 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Ajit Jogi hurt BJP more than Congress in Chhattisgarh polls

Because of Jogi’s historical association with the Congress, it was expected that the alliance would probably damage the Congress more than the BJP. But the reverse has happened.

Because of Ajit Jogi’s historical association with the Congress, it was expected that the alliance would probably damage the Congress more than the BJP. But the reverse has happened.(HT FILE PHOTO)
Updated on Dec 12, 2018 10:25 AM IST
ByAbhishek Jha

Assembly election results 2018: Big boost for TRS in seat, vote shares as Opposition alliance suffers

The combined vote share of the Congress, TDP, Communist Party of India (CPI) and the Telangana Jan Samithi (TJS) was 6.42 percentage points more than the Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) vote share in the 2014 assembly elections for the 119 seats in Telangana.

Assembly election results 2018: Out of the five states which went to polls in this election cycle, Telangana was the only one which had an umbrella coalition of anti-BJP parties.(HT File Photo)
Updated on Dec 12, 2018 12:59 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Why Ajit Jogi is the X factor in Chhattisgarh elections?

Ajit Jogi, who was appointed the Congress chief minister after the formation of Chhattisgarh in 2000, walked out of the party to launch the Janata Congress Chhattisgarh (Jogi) in 2016.

BSP supremo Mayawati and Janata Congress (Chhatisgarh) President Ajit Jogi during a press conference.(PTI)
Updated on Nov 15, 2018 08:27 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Can Chhattisgarh assembly elections turn out to be a game changer for the Congress?

BJP’s seat share was consistent around 55% in the 2003, 2008 and 2013 Chhattisgarh assembly elections. Although Congress has not been able to wrest power from BJP, it has closed the gap both in terms of seat share and vote share in successive state polls.

After the delimitation exercise in 2008, Chhattisgarh assembly has 29 ST-reserved assembly constituencies (ACs). The BJP won 19 and 11 of these seats in the 2008 and 2013 elections, while the Congress won 10 and 18.(AP File Photo/Representative image)
Updated on Nov 11, 2018 08:30 PM IST
ByAbhishek Jha

Swings, vote share, Ajit Jogi: Numbers and more in Chhattisgarh

Analysis shows alienation among ST voters vis-a-vis BJP could be behind the gradual revival of Congress fortunes in Chhattisgarh which is among the five states that go to polls at the end of this year.

Congress President Rahul Gandhi being presented a model of plough during the Kisan Hunkar Rally in Raipur, Chhattisgarh, Monday, Oct 22, 2018. The main contest in the assembly elections in the state will be between the Congress and the ruling BJP.(PTI File)
Updated on Nov 11, 2018 05:40 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | ByAbhishek Jha

Congress has hopes from Rajasthan, but it can easily swing in BJP’s favour

BJP’s growing geographical reach in the state explains the rise in volatility in the performance of the Congress. But given its old roots, the Congress still has formidable support.

Bhartiya Janta Party President Amit Shah with Rajasthan Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje during the closing ceremony of state working committee meeting, in Jaipur.(PTI Photo)
Updated on Aug 02, 2018 11:09 AM IST
Hindustan Times | ByAbhishek Jha
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