Articles by Abhishek Jha
Do higher turnouts in MP and Rajasthan show Congress’s core voters are back?
Both states have recorded a significantly higher voter turnout than what they did in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.
Updated on May 08, 2019 02:21 PM IST
Hindustan Times |
Roshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Key seats in heartland vote in power-packed phase 5 of Lok Sabha polls
The BJP won all 25 seats in Rajasthan in the 2014 elections. Given the Congress victory in the 2018 assembly elections, a repeat seems unlikely.
Updated on May 09, 2020 05:39 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Why BJP faces a bigger SP-BSP challenge in remaining UP seats
This means that the share of NDA’s spoiler-aided victories in Uttar Pradesh was 18 percentage points higher in the PCs which are yet to go to polls in Uttar Pradesh compared to where polling has already happened.
Updated on May 02, 2019 12:00 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Roshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019 polling Phase 4: Turncoat support base may have a bearing in Rajasthan
Lok Sabha elections 2019 polling Phase 4: In the 13 seats out of 25 seats in Rajasthan, which are scheduled for polling today, the Congress was actually behind the BJP in terms of vote share by 2.5 percentage points in the 2018 assembly elections.
Updated on May 06, 2020 08:54 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019- ‘Elections have become very localised and transactional’: Praveen Chakravarty
We have something called the Nyay awareness index, which is measured daily. We can identify which pockets, which geographies will be the most likely Nyay beneficiaries.
Updated on Apr 28, 2019 07:27 AM IST
New Delhi |
Roshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: In Karnataka, coalition math key to Opposition strategy
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 17 out of the 28 seats in Karnataka in the 2014 elections. Karnataka is the only southern state where the BJP has consistently performed well.
Updated on May 02, 2020 08:05 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: AIADMK faces test in election after Jayalalithaa era
The AIADMK created history by retaining power in Tamil Nadu by winning the assembly elections twice in a row, 2011 and 2016, ending a two-decade old trend. Tamil Nadu has flipped between the AIADMK and the DMK since 1989.
Updated on Apr 18, 2019 01:28 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: World’s largest-ever election begins. Here is what’s at stake
55-7 to 7-32 between 2009 and 2014. The Congress also lost ground to other parties such as the YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) in Andhra Pradesh. Of the 91 seats,57 are in states where assembly elections have been held after the 2014 Lok Sabha polls.
Updated on Apr 11, 2019 08:04 AM IST
New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha and Vijdan Mohammad Kawoosa
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Repeating 2014 UP show may prove to be tough for BJP
Unlike in the 2014 Lok Sabha and the 2017 assembly elections – both of which the BJP swept – the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Samajwadi Party (SP) are in an alliance along with the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD), a political party with a footprint in the western part of the state.
Updated on Apr 09, 2019 07:45 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Roshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Back in BJP coalition, stakes are highest for Nitish Kumar’s JD(U)
Another interesting statistic which stands out in Bihar is that the vote share of anti-NDA parties has always been close to the two-thirds mark in all elections since the 2004 Lok Sabha polls.
Updated on Apr 06, 2019 08:20 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Roshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Poll history suggests Madhya Pradesh could be a close contest
The Congress increased its seats from 58 to 114 with an increase in vote share which was almost equal to the decline in the BJP’s vote share.
Published on Apr 06, 2019 07:30 AM IST
New Delhi |
Roshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Can BJP reverse 2018 election losses in Rajasthan?
While Congress did win the polls, its performance according to many commentators was lacklustre since it only got a 0.5 percentage point lead over BJP in terms of vote share and stopped one short of the halfway mark in the assembly.
Updated on Apr 04, 2019 11:33 AM IST
New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Oppn ahead on numbers but may find it tough to rout BJP in Karnataka
Adding vote shares of the Congress and JD(S) constituency-wise shows that a pre-poll alliance would not have made much difference in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls. BJP would have lost two additional seats from its tally of 17 to the alliance, but still win a majority (15 of 28) of seats in the state.
Updated on Apr 03, 2019 11:08 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Can YSR Congress retain its 2014 Lok Sabha poll vote share?
If one were to compare contested vote share of the TDP (48.2%) and YSRCP (45.4%) in 2014, the former seems to have a small advantage. To be sure, the TDP figure might not capture the true picture as it would have got BJP votes as well.
Updated on Mar 30, 2019 02:19 PM IST
Hindustan Times |
Roshan Kishore and Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Congress revival can split anti-BJD votes
The BJP’s post-2009 revival in the state has come at the cost of the Congress, which suffered a big reduction in its seat share and vote share in the 2014 Lok Sabha and assembly elections.
Updated on Mar 30, 2019 02:20 PM IST
Hindustan Times |
Abhishek Jha and Roshan Kishore
BJP’s cow protection pitch may have more takers among non-cattle owners
An overwhelming majority of Hindus have an emotional attachment to cows and consider them holy (which makes the consumption of beef a sacrilege).
Updated on Mar 26, 2019 08:18 AM IST
New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Will split in Jat vote hurt the Congress in Haryana?
The strategy of appointing a non-Jat leader is key to the BJP’s social engineering strategy in the state.
Published on Mar 23, 2019 08:19 AM IST
Lok Sabha elections 2019: How the political landscape changed in the last 5 years
The ruling party outperformed the Congress in direct contest states in 2014, but the main opposition party has regained some ground in these areas.
Updated on Mar 11, 2019 04:35 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha and Vijdan Mohammad Kawoosa
Lok Sabha elections 2019: Past performance propels seat-sharing pact of SP, BSP
Out of the 80 Lok Sabha seats in the state, the BSP will contest 38 and the SP 37. The third partner in their alliance, the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD), is expected to contest three seats.
Published on Feb 22, 2019 11:35 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha and Vijdan Mohammad Kawoosa
Why the 25% seat increase for higher education institutions will adversely affect teaching
The seat increase in higher educational institutions without funding can adversely affect the quality of education.
Published on Feb 13, 2019 04:25 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Google searches for swine flu in north and northwest India highest this year, shows data
An HT analysis of Google Trends data for India has found that past outbreaks of the disease led to an increased interest on it in terms of Google searches.
Updated on Feb 07, 2019 07:36 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Rs 6,000 is 6% of a small farmer’s annual income, according to NSSO data
How significant is Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi (PM-KISAN) scheme? NSSO data may have the answer.
Updated on Feb 06, 2019 09:08 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Labour participation dips as more women withdraw from workforce
An HT analysis using the reported findings from the Business Standard story and World Bank population projections shows that the total number of workers in India in 2017-18 is 464.01 million.
Updated on Feb 02, 2019 03:07 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Budget: OBC farmers may benefit most from Centre’s agriculture scheme
An HT analysis of a 2013 National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) report on Household Ownership and Operational Holdings in India shows that farmers from the Other Backward Class (OBC) category could be the biggest beneficiaries of this scheme.
Published on Feb 02, 2019 02:56 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Ajit Jogi hurt BJP more than Congress in Chhattisgarh polls
Because of Jogi’s historical association with the Congress, it was expected that the alliance would probably damage the Congress more than the BJP. But the reverse has happened.
Updated on Dec 12, 2018 10:25 AM IST
Assembly election results 2018: Big boost for TRS in seat, vote shares as Opposition alliance suffers
The combined vote share of the Congress, TDP, Communist Party of India (CPI) and the Telangana Jan Samithi (TJS) was 6.42 percentage points more than the Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) vote share in the 2014 assembly elections for the 119 seats in Telangana.
Updated on Dec 12, 2018 12:59 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Why Ajit Jogi is the X factor in Chhattisgarh elections?
Ajit Jogi, who was appointed the Congress chief minister after the formation of Chhattisgarh in 2000, walked out of the party to launch the Janata Congress Chhattisgarh (Jogi) in 2016.
Updated on Nov 15, 2018 08:27 AM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Can Chhattisgarh assembly elections turn out to be a game changer for the Congress?
BJP’s seat share was consistent around 55% in the 2003, 2008 and 2013 Chhattisgarh assembly elections. Although Congress has not been able to wrest power from BJP, it has closed the gap both in terms of seat share and vote share in successive state polls.
Updated on Nov 11, 2018 08:30 PM IST
Swings, vote share, Ajit Jogi: Numbers and more in Chhattisgarh
Analysis shows alienation among ST voters vis-a-vis BJP could be behind the gradual revival of Congress fortunes in Chhattisgarh which is among the five states that go to polls at the end of this year.
Updated on Nov 11, 2018 05:40 PM IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi |
Abhishek Jha
Congress has hopes from Rajasthan, but it can easily swing in BJP’s favour
BJP’s growing geographical reach in the state explains the rise in volatility in the performance of the Congress. But given its old roots, the Congress still has formidable support.
Updated on Aug 02, 2018 11:09 AM IST
Hindustan Times |
Abhishek Jha