Abhishek Jha is a data journalist. He analyses public data for finding news, with a focus on the environment, Indian politics and economy, and Covid-19.
Articles by Abhishek Jha
From 2014-2024 – 282, 303, 240: Charting shift in BJP’s tally
BJP improved to 303 seats in 2019, but has won 240 seats in 2024, when the majority mark is 272. How has this shift happened?
Updated on Jun 06, 2024 08:34 AM IST
Number Theory: The directional shifts that defined the polls
While the BJP has maintained its overall vote share compared to 2019, its median vote share has decreased compared to 2019.
Published on Jun 05, 2024 07:46 AM IST
Drop in turnout may not mean a reversal of BJP’s fortunes
The drop in turnout seen in early phases of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections has become one of the most-watched trends of this contest.
Updated on Jun 02, 2024 06:50 AM IST
Number Theory: What is at stake in the final round of voting?
57 parliamentary constituencies across seven states and the Union territory of Chandigarh will vote today in the second and final phase of the 2024 LS elections
Published on Jun 01, 2024 05:39 PM IST
Number Theory: What’s at stake in the sixth phase of voting?
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Published on May 30, 2024 07:10 PM IST
Abhishek Jha, New Delhi
Number Theory: Outliers within the constituencies in Lok Sabha elections
When there is a nationally dominant party, as there was in 2014 and 2019, assembly constituencies within a parliamentary constituencies largely vote similarly .
Published on May 30, 2024 04:14 PM IST
Number Theory: Can BJP do a hat-trick of wins in all 7 Lok Sabha seats in Delhi?
Except in 1967, 1989 and 1991, the party that won a majority of parliamentary constituencies in Delhi always finished first in the Lok Sabha nationally.
Updated on May 30, 2024 02:22 PM IST
Number Theory: How bad is the current heatwave?
The short answer: Very bad, and perhaps too soon in the season, at least in Delhi. Now for the long answer.
Published on May 30, 2024 07:44 AM IST
Number Theory: Can AAP-Congress alliance hurt the BJP in Delhi?
When the AAP fought its first Lok Sabha elections in 2014, Delhi saw its most multipolar Lok Sabha contest since 1991.
Published on May 24, 2024 08:57 AM IST
Number Theory: Has heat tread the heels of polling this election?
The average polling day maximum for the sixth phase parliamentary constituencies is 44.5°C compared to the national average of 39.3°C.
Published on May 23, 2024 08:58 AM IST
Weather Bee | How bad is the heat in India this May?
The answer depends on an analysis of average maximum weekly temperatures, with heat moving from the southern parts of the country to the northern parts
Published on May 23, 2024 08:30 AM IST
Abhishek Jha | Edited by Anish Yande
Number Theory: Unravelling the nuts and bolts of Phase 5 of Lok Sabha polls
Among the seven phases of this election, the fifth phase PCs have had the lowest turnout in all the past three Lok Sabha elections.
Published on May 20, 2024 09:56 AM IST
Number Theory: Can BJP pull off a massive win in Uttar Pradesh again?
Every election is a new test, and opposition alliances have been shifting continuously in Uttar Pradesh since 2014.
Published on May 17, 2024 08:55 AM IST
Lok Sabha polls: Phase 4 voter turnout higher than earlier phases
2024 Lok Sabha elections saw a turnout of 66.95% in the first four phases, with the fourth phase recording the highest turnout of 69.16%.
Updated on May 17, 2024 01:10 AM IST
Weather Bee | Temperature alone cannot predict distress as monsoon approaches
The combination of humidity and temperature can pose health risks, emphasising the need for caution beyond just thermometer readings
Published on May 16, 2024 04:45 PM IST
Number Theory: Why Maharashtra’s electoral math is complicated
If the BJP got 30% of their combined votes, the BJP alliance would win 22 parliamentary constituencies in the state.
Published on May 16, 2024 08:59 AM IST
Urban unemployment rate at 6.7% in quarter ending March 2024 : NSSO data
To be sure, a rise in the unemployment rate does not necessarily mean that the number of jobs in the economy has fallen
Updated on May 16, 2024 09:26 AM IST
Number Theory: Four charts that help decode crucial Phase 4 of Lok Sabha polls
Among the PCs of the seven phases, the PCs of the fourth phase had the highest turnout in 2009 and 2014, but the second highest turnout in 2019.
Published on May 13, 2024 09:03 AM IST
Number Theory: Will Madhya Pradesh be a landslide for BJP once again?
In 2023 Madhya Pradesh assembly elections, BJP won a massive victory against Congress. Is BJP all set to replicate its victory in 2024 Lok Sabha elections?
Published on May 11, 2024 08:58 PM IST
Weather Bee | Uttarakhand's forest fires are now spreading to higher reaches
Uttarakhand is facing a significant increase in forest fires, with data showing fires spreading to higher elevations, posing new challenges for containment.
Published on May 09, 2024 08:40 AM IST
Number Theory: The voter turnout story so far
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Published on May 08, 2024 06:54 PM IST
Abhishek Jha, New Delhi
Number Theory: What's at stake in the third phase of voting
The BJP and its allies have won a majority of parliamentary constituencies voting in this phase in every Lok Sabha election starting 2009.
Published on May 07, 2024 07:07 AM IST
Number Theory: Turncoats and their role in Indian politics, polls
A majority of turncoats in both the BJP and the Congress come from parties smaller than both of them.
Updated on May 06, 2024 08:45 AM IST
Number Theory: Understanding Amethi and Rae Bareli contests
Congress announced that Rahul Gandhi will contest from the Rae Bareli parliamentary constituency and the Amethi candidate will not be from Nehru-Gandhi family
Updated on May 04, 2024 10:10 AM IST
Number Theory: How BJP has changed Assam's political game
The Congress alliance’s seat share fell to just 21.4% in 2019 despite its vote share remaining relatively flat at 35.7%.
Published on May 03, 2024 09:37 AM IST
Weather Bee | How unusual are forest fires in March and April?
The recent surge in forest fires in Uttarakhand has been attributed to unusually dry weather since winter. However, this phenomenon isn't unique to this year.
Published on May 01, 2024 11:08 PM IST
Number Theory: Will caste-based redistribution pitch have political traction-II
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Updated on Apr 30, 2024 04:59 PM IST
Number Theory: Will caste-based redistribution pitch have political traction-I
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Updated on Apr 29, 2024 07:17 PM IST
Is voter turnout in 2024 really lower than 2019 in absolute terms?
Approximately 109.9 million and 105.9 million people turned up to vote in the first and second phases of the Lok Sabha elections, respectively.
Updated on Apr 29, 2024 05:52 PM IST
Abhishek Jha, New Delhi
Heatwave grips country as Lok Sabha polls enter key stage
IMD warns of severe heatwave in east and south India for next 5 days, affecting areas with upcoming elections; temperatures above 35°C in 186 seats.
Updated on Apr 29, 2024 04:53 AM IST
Jayashree NandiAbhishek Jha, New Delhi