Aditi Nayar
Articles by Aditi Nayar

Decoding the MPC rate hike

Given the near-6% growth projection and 5.5% inflation forecast for H2 FY2024, MPC has kept the window open for further policy tightening to reiterate its continuing vigilance

MPC has cut its CPI inflation projections for Q4 FY2023 to 5.7% from 5.9% earlier; this, along with the significant undershooting in Q3 FY2023 vs its estimates, led to the paring of its FY2023 forecast to 6.5% from 6.7% earlier.(mint)
Published on Feb 10, 2023 01:47 PM IST

Inflation may be slower but keep an eye on food prices

The dip points to the beginning of an extended moderation over the next six months on account of a favourable base effect that is set to intensify over this duration.

With CPI inflation remaining above MPC’s 6% tolerance level in October for the 10th consecutive month, we believe another rate hike is certain in the December policy review meeting. (AFP)
Published on Nov 17, 2022 07:44 PM IST

What is the state of the Indian economy today?

Going ahead, growth rates may moderate on a year-on-year basis. However, the performance relative to pre-Covid levels is expected to improve

GDP growth in the previous quarter was driven by a surge in consumption demand, with private final consumption expenditure (PFCE) surging by 25.9% YoY — this alone contributed as much as 14 percentage points to the headline GDP growth number of 13.5%, with higher net imports offsetting the contribution of all the other GDP components. (AP)
Updated on Sep 01, 2022 08:34 PM IST
ByAditi Nayar
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