Jayadeva Ranade

Xi galvanising support ahead of 20th CCP meet

If US-China relations don’t deteriorate into a clash in the South China Sea or over Taiwan, major obstacles to Xi securing a third term at the upcoming 20th Party Congress could emerge only from within the CCP

There are signs of unease in China’s domestic politics

Xi Jinping's campaigns to bolster his position within the Chinese Communist Party also indicate discontent within the party

From Tibetan resistance to international tensions, China’s obstacles in TAR

Chinese nervousness about the situation in Tibet has been especially noticeable during this period of enhanced military tension between India and China

Xi Jinping’s Tibet visit should worry India

The importance of the visit was highlighted by the inclusion of three politburo members and General Zhang Youxia, vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission in Xi’s entourage

The CCP history revision elevates Xi Jinping to the level of Mao Zedong

The new version predictably takes a more hawkish and nationalistic approach to major events, thereby, endorsing Xi’s aggressive foreign policy

China’s plans on Tibet and border infra will pose a threat to India

India will have to contend with a much-improved strategic border defence infrastructure and considerably enhanced Chinese military presence that will pose a long-term potential threat. China’s 14th Five Year Plan and the Long Range Objectives—2035 clearly point to a fraught and possibly dangerous period in India-China relations that lies ahead.

Disengagement will not lead to friendship

Notwithstanding the recent exchanges between the Indian and Chinese foreign ministers and military commanders at the border, India-China relations remain at a critical stage

2021 strategic outlook: India must not yield any ground to China

As India strives to ensure good relations with the US and Russia, revive its economy and build indigenous capabilities, it is vital that it does not yield ground to China and assertively raises issues that impact its core national interests.

Is China waking up to the costs of its US policy? | Analysis

It isn’t clear whether this marks a correction, or a tactical attempt to manage tensions. Washington isn’t convinced

Decoding China’s planned aggression

Its arc of military pressure is designed to test India’s preparedness, political will and resolve

How Xi Jinping’s opposition stacks against him

Since he abolished the term-limits for top posts, there is growing opposition against him, comprising students, intellectuals and party cadres. Can the president withstand it?

How the pandemic can hit Xi Jinping’s ‘China dream’| Analysis

As the economy gets severely hit, China’s leadership knows the effect this can have on its domestic legitimacy

How coronavirus is stalling China’s military modernisation plans | Opinion

The epidemic has hit the PLA’s recruitment drive, and stalled production at weapons manufacturing institutes

India must take note of the China-Pakistan nexus | Opinion

China has made its hostility clear. Hosting the SCO summit at this time can turn out to be counterproductive

Censoring online content is not easy any more

But the danger of allowing ingress to nationally critical sectors, like telecommunications, to countries that are not friendly must now be a matter of immediate national concern

A visible thawing in the India-China relationship signals changing attitudes

Though it will be premature to expect that Beijing’s changed attitude is anything more than tactical, it is pertinent that the PLA recognises the pending border issue as the biggest problem in bilateral ties

Why China is keen to discuss CPEC with India

Beijing is strenuously pushing the Belt and Road Initiative to dispel doubts being raised over its economic benefits

HTLS column by Jayadeva Ranade: Friendship, competition between Asia’s Big 3

With economic growth as the key aim, dynamic leaders of China, India and Japan are inspiring their countries to emerge as major powers

India-China ties in the near term will remain uncertain | Opinion

China’s political and military leaders will evaluate the Doklam face-off and plan to salvage their damaged pride

Doklam defused: Why it will take a lot of effort for India, China to rebuild ties

In the wider Indo-Pacific region, India will be seen as the only power to have stood up to China’s aggressive policies. Recognition is Japan’s, and later US endorsement, of India’s stand

Doklam will prompt new thinking on India-China relations

While efforts to de-escalate the Doklam situation to mutual satisfaction should continue, national security concerns must henceforth predominate

China anxious for India to endorse the OBOR initiative

China’s One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative is a grand Chinese vision that seeks to link production centres in China with markets and natural resource centres around the world through a China-built communications artery. Beijing is keen to have India come aboard this new economic initiative warning that otherwise it would become isolated.

China is rapidly losing friends along its maritime and land borders

The CCP leadership’s decision to reshape the international and regional strategic environment, tough party-approved nationalist rhetoric, and the “China Dream” have ensured the hardening of Beijing’s position on issues of sovereignty and territory

The Dragon does not come bearing gifts

Upcoming India-China meetings a chance to discuss substantive, troubling issues

India must discuss substantive and troubling issues like the qualitatively different border intrusions during forthcoming interactions with Chinese leaders despite negligible expectation that there will be forward movement

The grand dream could become a nightmare

Can China realise its One Belt, One Road dream?

Beijing is marshalling a lot of resources for the ambitious project, but serious doubts remain about its viability

China signals policy shift on Dalai Lama

Beijing is questioning the Buddhist leader’s credentials to assert that it has the right to choose his successor

Pakistan is helping China consolidate its position in South Asia

The Sino-Pakistan relationship, especially after Chinese President Xi Jinping announced the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and Beijing’s description of Pakistan as China’s “only one real ally”, has begun to change the texture of bilateral relations and dynamics of regional geopolitics.

Expect no concessions on sovereignty in Xi’s India visit

When PM Narendra Modi meets 61-year-old Chinese President Xi Jinping next week, he will meet a self-confident, intelligent individual with wide administrative experience who is comfortable with the exercise of power, writes Jayadeva Ranade.