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Jayadeva Ranade
Articles by Jayadeva Ranade

Xi galvanising support ahead of 20th CCP meet

If US-China relations don’t deteriorate into a clash in the South China Sea or over Taiwan, major obstacles to Xi securing a third term at the upcoming 20th Party Congress could emerge only from within the CCP

Contrary to recent rumours that Xi has lost ground, yielding space to Premier Li Keqiang, the official media has continued to feature the Chinese president more frequently and prominently than any other CCP leader. In fact, Li had announced on March 11 that he will be stepping down as premier at the 20th Party Congress. (REUTERS)
Updated on Jun 23, 2022 11:33 AM IST

There are signs of unease in China’s domestic politics

Xi Jinping's campaigns to bolster his position within the Chinese Communist Party also indicate discontent within the party

The importance of loyalty to Xi is being impressed on all party members. On January 8, the CCP CC Central Party School, the crucible for training upwardly mobile party cadres, graduated 1,117 student cadres. In a statement, the school said that students had imbibed “a deeper understanding of the decisive meaning of “two establishments”. (AP)
Updated on Jan 27, 2022 10:43 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

From Tibetan resistance to international tensions, China’s obstacles in TAR

Chinese nervousness about the situation in Tibet has been especially noticeable during this period of enhanced military tension between India and China

Indian public opinion has also begun to question India’s recognition of Tibet as part of China (AFP)
Updated on Sep 28, 2021 07:38 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Xi Jinping’s Tibet visit should worry India

The importance of the visit was highlighted by the inclusion of three politburo members and General Zhang Youxia, vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission in Xi’s entourage

Chinese President Xi Jinping waves while visiting a public square below the Potala Palace in Lhasa in western China's Tibet Autonomous Region on July 22. (AP)
Updated on Jul 29, 2021 03:25 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

The CCP history revision elevates Xi Jinping to the level of Mao Zedong

The new version predictably takes a more hawkish and nationalistic approach to major events, thereby, endorsing Xi’s aggressive foreign policy

The latest version, released earlier this month, was timed to coincide with the 100th year of the party’s founding (AP Photo)
Published on Apr 25, 2021 07:10 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

China’s plans on Tibet and border infra will pose a threat to India

India will have to contend with a much-improved strategic border defence infrastructure and considerably enhanced Chinese military presence that will pose a long-term potential threat. China’s 14th Five Year Plan and the Long Range Objectives—2035 clearly point to a fraught and possibly dangerous period in India-China relations that lies ahead.

The G219 and G331 national highways are to be upgraded and extended to run parallel to the G318 Sichuan-Tibet Highway, which will also be upgraded and runs along China’s borders with India. (AP)
Published on Mar 31, 2021 05:23 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Disengagement will not lead to friendship

Notwithstanding the recent exchanges between the Indian and Chinese foreign ministers and military commanders at the border, India-China relations remain at a critical stage

While there may be a temporary easing of military tension, there has been criticism in China of the disengagement. China could well attempt another military adventure in its bid to frustrate India’s rise (AFP)
Updated on Mar 03, 2021 04:07 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

2021 strategic outlook: India must not yield any ground to China

As India strives to ensure good relations with the US and Russia, revive its economy and build indigenous capabilities, it is vital that it does not yield ground to China and assertively raises issues that impact its core national interests.

For India especially, the coming year heralds a phase of new uncertainties, necessitating deft diplomacy accompanied by a firm resolve not to yield ground on issues of sovereignty and national interest.(Raj K Raj/HT PHOTO)
Published on Dec 29, 2020 04:59 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Is China waking up to the costs of its US policy? | Analysis

It isn’t clear whether this marks a correction, or a tactical attempt to manage tensions. Washington isn’t convinced

Wang Yi’s speech excluded no subjects from discussion except China’s political system(Getty Images)
Updated on Jul 16, 2020 07:19 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Decoding China’s planned aggression

Its arc of military pressure is designed to test India’s preparedness, political will and resolve

With pressure on Xi Jinping, he will be reluctant to withdraw forces without substantive gains(AP)
Updated on Jun 17, 2020 07:58 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

How Xi Jinping’s opposition stacks against him

Since he abolished the term-limits for top posts, there is growing opposition against him, comprising students, intellectuals and party cadres. Can the president withstand it?

Xi Jinping is mentally tough and, as a “princeling”, has strong connections to the Party veterans. How his opposition fares depends on the middle and higher echelons of the Party and its veterans(AP)
Updated on May 21, 2020 09:33 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

How the pandemic can hit Xi Jinping’s ‘China dream’| Analysis

As the economy gets severely hit, China’s leadership knows the effect this can have on its domestic legitimacy

Suspicions about China’s role and whether it shared pertinent data about the pandemic will continue to exist(AP)
Updated on Apr 22, 2020 07:12 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

How coronavirus is stalling China’s military modernisation plans | Opinion

The epidemic has hit the PLA’s recruitment drive, and stalled production at weapons manufacturing institutes

People wearing masks, walk in a subway station, in Hong Kong, Friday, Feb. 7, 2020.(AP file photo)
Updated on Feb 19, 2020 06:44 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

India must take note of the China-Pakistan nexus | Opinion

China has made its hostility clear. Hosting the SCO summit at this time can turn out to be counterproductive

At the SCO, China could muster support to persuade India to soften its stance on Pakistan and Kashmir(VIA REUTERS)
Updated on Jan 22, 2020 07:31 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Censoring online content is not easy any more

But the danger of allowing ingress to nationally critical sectors, like telecommunications, to countries that are not friendly must now be a matter of immediate national concern

In addition to the danger of unauthorised access to information, this technology opens the possibility of other countries intercepting and censoring content that will increasingly be carried over Internet(AFP)
Updated on Nov 17, 2018 09:53 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

A visible thawing in the India-China relationship signals changing attitudes

Though it will be premature to expect that Beijing’s changed attitude is anything more than tactical, it is pertinent that the PLA recognises the pending border issue as the biggest problem in bilateral ties

There has been a visible thawing in the India-China relationship in the past few months if the increased number of high-level visits exchanged are any pointer(REUTERS/Adnan Abidi)
Updated on Oct 24, 2018 02:35 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Why China is keen to discuss CPEC with India

Beijing is strenuously pushing the Belt and Road Initiative to dispel doubts being raised over its economic benefits

Chinese President Xi Jinping during a press briefing in Beijing.(AFP)
Updated on Feb 19, 2018 07:33 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

HTLS column by Jayadeva Ranade: Friendship, competition between Asia’s Big 3

With economic growth as the key aim, dynamic leaders of China, India and Japan are inspiring their countries to emerge as major powers

Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Sabarmati Ashram in Ahmedabad.(PIB File)
Updated on Nov 23, 2017 08:30 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

India-China ties in the near term will remain uncertain | Opinion

China’s political and military leaders will evaluate the Doklam face-off and plan to salvage their damaged pride

India-China relations in the near term are likely to be uncertain. Till China sees it will benefit by working with India, it would be prudent to expect that China’s political and military leadership will evaluate the face-off at Doklam and prepare plans to salvage damaged pride. China will naturally choose a time and place of its advantage.(AFP)
Updated on Oct 14, 2017 09:26 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Doklam defused: Why it will take a lot of effort for India, China to rebuild ties

In the wider Indo-Pacific region, India will be seen as the only power to have stood up to China’s aggressive policies. Recognition is Japan’s, and later US endorsement, of India’s stand

During the Doklam stand-off, China’s state-owned propaganda apparatus mounted an unprecedented offensive not seen in over forty years and which revealed that the Chinese Communist leadership cared little about improving Sino-Indian ties and had scant regard for Indian sensitivities.(AFP)
Updated on Aug 29, 2017 06:25 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Doklam will prompt new thinking on India-China relations

While efforts to de-escalate the Doklam situation to mutual satisfaction should continue, national security concerns must henceforth predominate

India Prime Minister Narendra Modi talking to China's President Xi Jinping during the BRICS leaders' meeting with the BRICS Business Council in October 2016.(AFP)
Updated on Jul 18, 2017 01:18 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

China anxious for India to endorse the OBOR initiative

China’s One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative is a grand Chinese vision that seeks to link production centres in China with markets and natural resource centres around the world through a China-built communications artery. Beijing is keen to have India come aboard this new economic initiative warning that otherwise it would become isolated.

Workers install wires on a 'Golden Bridge of Silk Road' structure on a platform outside the National Convention Centre, the venue for the Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation, in Beijing, April 18, 2017. Leaders of 28 countries are set to attend the Chinese summit showcasing President Xi Jinping's signature foreign policy plan.(AP)
Updated on May 14, 2017 10:21 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

China is rapidly losing friends along its maritime and land borders

The CCP leadership’s decision to reshape the international and regional strategic environment, tough party-approved nationalist rhetoric, and the “China Dream” have ensured the hardening of Beijing’s position on issues of sovereignty and territory

A man looks at a building covered in posters of Chinese President Xi Jinping in Shanghai, China, (File Phjoto)(REUTERS)
Updated on Nov 01, 2016 08:48 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

The Dragon does not come bearing gifts

HT Image
Published on Aug 10, 2016 11:42 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Upcoming India-China meetings a chance to discuss substantive, troubling issues

India must discuss substantive and troubling issues like the qualitatively different border intrusions during forthcoming interactions with Chinese leaders despite negligible expectation that there will be forward movement

Chinese and Pakistan troops after the launch of their first joint patrolling of the border connecting PoK with Xinjiang province, China.(PTI file photo)
Updated on Aug 09, 2016 11:54 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

The grand dream could become a nightmare

HT Image
Published on Jun 06, 2016 11:53 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Can China realise its One Belt, One Road dream?

Beijing is marshalling a lot of resources for the ambitious project, but serious doubts remain about its viability

China's acquisition of a strategic port in Pakistan is the latest addition to its drive to secure energy and maritime routes and gives it a potential naval base in the Arabian Sea, unsettling India.(AFP)
Updated on Jun 06, 2016 12:53 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

China signals policy shift on Dalai Lama

Beijing is questioning the Buddhist leader’s credentials to assert that it has the right to choose his successor

The 14th Dalai Lama fleeing from Tibet to India across the Himalayas, following a failed uprising against the Chinese occupation, in 1959. He is riding a white pony, third from the right(Getty Images)
Updated on Apr 05, 2016 01:51 PM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Pakistan is helping China consolidate its position in South Asia

The Sino-Pakistan relationship, especially after Chinese President Xi Jinping announced the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and Beijing’s description of Pakistan as China’s “only one real ally”, has begun to change the texture of bilateral relations and dynamics of regional geopolitics.

Chinese President Xi Jinping with his Pakistani counterpart Mamnoon Hussain (left) and Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif (right) upon his arrival at Nur Khan air base in Rawalpindi, April 20, 2015.(AFP)
Updated on Mar 10, 2016 12:39 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade

Expect no concessions on sovereignty in Xi’s India visit

When PM Narendra Modi meets 61-year-old Chinese President Xi Jinping next week, he will meet a self-confident, intelligent individual with wide administrative experience who is comfortable with the exercise of power, writes Jayadeva Ranade.

Updated on Sep 10, 2014 02:53 AM IST
ByJayadeva Ranade Jayadeva Ranade
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