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Nishant Ranjan

Articles by Nishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Devendra Fadnavis and Maharahstra politics in three charts

What will be his major challenge in second term as chief minister? Here are three charts which answer these questions

Editors Pick

Updated on Dec 05, 2024 09:14 AM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Nishant Ranjan

Number Theory: What explains the JMM’s massive victory in Jharkhand?

After all, the JMM alliance won the elections even in 2019 and the BJP alliance has largely maintained its seat tally between 2019 (25) and 2024 (24)

Voters seem to exercise their franchise with great sophistication and diligence: For instance, we have repeatedly seen the electorate in many states voting in different parties to the Lok Sabha and the state legislative assembly even when elections are held simultaneously (HT Photo)

Editors Pick

Updated on Nov 29, 2024 10:41 AM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Nishant Ranjan

Number Theory: How Congress lost the plot and slumped to its lowest Maha tally

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Congress’s drubbing in Maharashtra has raised questions about its standing to head the national opposition alliance. (HT Photo)

Editors Pick

Published on Nov 26, 2024 09:52 AM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Abhishek Jha, Nishant Ranjan

What changed the fortunes of alliances in Maharashtra

The BJP has turned the tables and now it looks like the Congress is left without any worthy allies in the state.

Maharashtra deputy chief minister and BJP candidate Devendra Fadnavis waves the party's flag as he arrives to collect his winning certificate from the Nagpur South West Constituency, in Nagpur on Saturday. (ANI)

India News

Updated on Nov 25, 2024 04:13 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore, New Delhi

Maharashtra: What changed between Lok Sabha, state polls

The biggest factor behind the assembly election results is the Mahayuti taking a massive lead in terms of vote share over the MVA, the respective numbers being 51.3% and 35.4% respectively.

BJP supporters celebrate the party's victory in the Maharashtra assembly election, at party headquarters in New Delhi. (ANI PHOTO)

India News

Updated on Nov 24, 2024 07:12 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore

Results show Congress still far behind BJP

The 2024 Lok Sabha elections revealed stark political polarization, with the BJP-led NDA dominating, while Congress struggles within the INDIA alliance.

BJP supporters celebrate the party's victory in the Maharashtra assembly election, at party headquarters in New Delhi. (ANI)

India News

Updated on Nov 24, 2024 05:10 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore, New Delhi

Number Theory: 3 things to watch out for in Maharashtra, Jharkhand poll results

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Nagpur: Security personnel stand guard outside a strong room ahead of the counting of votes for the Maharashtra Assembly elections, in Nagpur, Maharashtra, Thursday, Nov. 21, 2024. (PTI Photo)(PTI11_21_2024_000246B)(PTI)

Editors Pick

Updated on Nov 22, 2024 06:07 PM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Nishant Ranjan, New Delhi

Number Theory: Do Lok Sabha polls give a true idea of the state of play in Maha?

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Students urge citizens to cast their votes in the Maharashtra assembly elections in Mumbai. (PTI Photo)

Editors Pick

Updated on Nov 20, 2024 08:31 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: A complex poll contest takes shape in Maharashtra

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Editors Pick

Published on Nov 19, 2024 09:49 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore

Number Theory: Why November 20 polls may be a watershed moment for Mumbai

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Merchandise of different political parties on display at a shop for election campaign in Maharashtra. (ANI Photo)

Editors Pick

Published on Nov 18, 2024 08:33 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: STs and their importance in Jharkhand politics — 2

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Editors Pick

Published on Nov 06, 2024 08:52 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore

Number Theory: STs and their importance in Jharkhand politics — 1

This is the first of a 2-part series on ST population and Jharkhand politics. The 2nd part will look at differences within STs and their political implications.

Editors Pick

Updated on Nov 04, 2024 10:22 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore

Number Theory: The state of play in UP’s high-stakes bypoll battle

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Uttar Pradesh chief minister Yogi Adityanath(HT File Phot/Raj K Raj)

Editors Pick

Published on Oct 18, 2024 01:05 PM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, New Delhi

Number Theory: The electoral contest in Maharashtra and Jharkhand in 3 charts

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The Election Commission of India on Tuesday announced the schedule for the assembly elections in Maharashtra and Jharkhand(PTI)

India News

Updated on Oct 15, 2024 06:39 PM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, New Delhi

Did PDP spoil BJP’s game plan in J&K?

A lot of anecdotal reporting was suggesting that independent candidates would damage the prospects of the NC-Congress alliance and make government-formation a complicated affair

India News

Updated on Oct 09, 2024 04:45 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore

BJP lures swing voters to deepen its Haryana footprint

A statistical analysis of the results besides these headline numbers shows a more comprehensive story of a growing and deepening BJP footprint in the state.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Union health minister JP Nadda at the BJP headquarters in Delhi on Tuesday. (PTI)

India News

Updated on Oct 09, 2024 04:47 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: 3 charts that explain the Haryana, J&K election results

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The results are contrary to what most exit polls predicted: that the Congress would win Haryana while J&K would not give a clear majority to any alliance.

Editors Pick

Updated on Oct 09, 2024 09:55 AM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Nishant Ranjan, Abhishek Jha, New Delhi

In Haryana, BJP exploits anti-Congress sentiment to deepen footprint

BJP’s success in Haryana is consolidating the anti-Congress vote rather than taking away the Congress vote

Haryana chief minister Nayab Saini greets supporters after winning the assembly elections from Ladwa constituency in Kurukshetra district,(PTI)

India News

Updated on Oct 08, 2024 11:45 PM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, New Delhi

Number Theory: 3 things to watch out for in the 2 assembly election results

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Supporters of Congress party listen as their leader Rahul Gandhi speaks during a campaign rally of Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections in Jammu(AP Photo)

Editors Pick

Updated on Oct 08, 2024 01:26 AM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Nishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Three crucial factors that will decide the Haryana elections

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Supporters at a pubic meeting addressed by PM Narendra Modi ahead of Haryana assembly elections in Hisar.(PTI)

Editors Pick

Updated on Oct 04, 2024 06:43 PM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore, New Delhi

Number Theory: The Model Code, and its governance impact

How significant is the direct disruption because of holding state and national elections separately?

The model code of conduct has evolved over time and implemented far more strictly today than it was in the past.

Editors Pick

Published on Sep 28, 2024 01:16 PM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Caste calculus of the 2024 Haryana polls

Because Haryana does not have data on caste-wise population shares, it is not possible to account for their representation or lack of it.

Editors Pick

Published on Sep 23, 2024 11:01 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: An electoral history of Jammu and Kashmir decoded in 3 charts

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Polling official leaves with EVM for polling station ahead of the first phase of assembly election in Pulwama, 30 km from Srinagar(HT Photo/Waseem Andrabi)

Editors Pick

Updated on Sep 18, 2024 12:04 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Can Champai Soren help the BJP in Jharkhand polls?

If the BJP has to wrest Jharkhand back from the JMM, it needs to focus on the larger challenge of undoing the tribal consolidation behind the JMM.

Former Jharkhand chief minister Champai Soren at the Birsa Munda airport in Ranchi.(PTI)

Editors Pick

Published on Aug 30, 2024 08:20 AM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Nishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Social representation in council of ministers

This four-part data journalism series evaluated the social representativeness or lack of it in all councils of ministers in India.

The Parliament House in New Delhi. (Bloomberg)

Editors Pick

Updated on Aug 26, 2024 08:52 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: State representation in council of ministers

Out of 25 Cabinets so far, Uttar Pradesh had the highest share of portfolios in 16 Cabinets. Andhra Pradesh had the highest share in the portfolios twice

Editors Pick

Updated on Aug 24, 2024 10:23 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Caste matrix of India’s council of ministers

This is the second of a four-part series based on HT’s caste database of council of ministers in India. The first part introduced the database and methodology.

Editors Pick

Updated on Aug 23, 2024 04:25 PM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Decoding India's council of ministers, 1952 to 2024

HT has built a caste database of all persons who have ever been a part of the Union council of ministers.

Editors Pick

Updated on Aug 23, 2024 04:26 PM IST

ByNishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Is Congress really parasitic? Here’s what numbers show

In head-to-head comparison, the BJP has had a lead over the Congress in every Lok Sabha election since 1989, except 1991 and 2009.

UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi (left) and Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge.(HT Photo)

Editors Pick

Published on Jul 08, 2024 08:50 AM IST

ByRoshan Kishore, Nishant Ranjan

Number Theory: Can CPI (M) recover from its Kerala debacle?

While the LDF has enjoyed a vote share premium in assembly elections in the past too, this dominance reached a new high in the 2021 assembly elections.

Editors Pick

Published on Jul 03, 2024 09:19 AM IST

ByNishant Ranjan, Roshan Kishore

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Nishant Ranjan

What will be his major challenge in second term as chief minister? Here are three charts which answer these questions

After all, the JMM alliance won the elections even in 2019 and the BJP alliance has largely maintained its seat tally between 2019 (25) and 2024 (24)

.

The BJP has turned the tables and now it looks like the Congress is left without any worthy allies in the state.

The biggest factor behind the assembly election results is the Mahayuti taking a massive lead in terms of vote share over the MVA, the respective numbers being 51.3% and 35.4% respectively.

The 2024 Lok Sabha elections revealed stark political polarization, with the BJP-led NDA dominating, while Congress struggles within the INDIA alliance.

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.

.

.

.

This is the first of a 2-part series on ST population and Jharkhand politics. The 2nd part will look at differences within STs and their political implications.

.

.

A lot of anecdotal reporting was suggesting that independent candidates would damage the prospects of the NC-Congress alliance and make government-formation a complicated affair

A statistical analysis of the results besides these headline numbers shows a more comprehensive story of a growing and deepening BJP footprint in the state.

.

BJP’s success in Haryana is consolidating the anti-Congress vote rather than taking away the Congress vote

.

.

How significant is the direct disruption because of holding state and national elections separately?

Because Haryana does not have data on caste-wise population shares, it is not possible to account for their representation or lack of it.

.

If the BJP has to wrest Jharkhand back from the JMM, it needs to focus on the larger challenge of undoing the tribal consolidation behind the JMM.

This four-part data journalism series evaluated the social representativeness or lack of it in all councils of ministers in India.

Out of 25 Cabinets so far, Uttar Pradesh had the highest share of portfolios in 16 Cabinets. Andhra Pradesh had the highest share in the portfolios twice

This is the second of a four-part series based on HT’s caste database of council of ministers in India. The first part introduced the database and methodology.

HT has built a caste database of all persons who have ever been a part of the Union council of ministers.

In head-to-head comparison, the BJP has had a lead over the Congress in every Lok Sabha election since 1989, except 1991 and 2009.

While the LDF has enjoyed a vote share premium in assembly elections in the past too, this dominance reached a new high in the 2021 assembly elections.

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