Articles by Nishant Ranjan
Number Theory: Can Champai Soren help the BJP in Jharkhand polls?
If the BJP has to wrest Jharkhand back from the JMM, it needs to focus on the larger challenge of undoing the tribal consolidation behind the JMM.
Published on Aug 30, 2024 08:20 AM IST
Number Theory: Social representation in council of ministers
This four-part data journalism series evaluated the social representativeness or lack of it in all councils of ministers in India.
Updated on Aug 26, 2024 08:52 AM IST
Number Theory: State representation in council of ministers
Out of 25 Cabinets so far, Uttar Pradesh had the highest share of portfolios in 16 Cabinets. Andhra Pradesh had the highest share in the portfolios twice
Updated on Aug 24, 2024 10:23 AM IST
Number Theory: Caste matrix of India’s council of ministers
This is the second of a four-part series based on HT’s caste database of council of ministers in India. The first part introduced the database and methodology.
Updated on Aug 23, 2024 04:25 PM IST
Number Theory: Decoding India's council of ministers, 1952 to 2024
HT has built a caste database of all persons who have ever been a part of the Union council of ministers.
Updated on Aug 23, 2024 04:26 PM IST
Number Theory: Is Congress really parasitic? Here’s what numbers show
In head-to-head comparison, the BJP has had a lead over the Congress in every Lok Sabha election since 1989, except 1991 and 2009.
Published on Jul 08, 2024 08:50 AM IST
Number Theory: Can CPI (M) recover from its Kerala debacle?
While the LDF has enjoyed a vote share premium in assembly elections in the past too, this dominance reached a new high in the 2021 assembly elections.
Published on Jul 03, 2024 09:19 AM IST
Number Theory: Can RJD win back its dominance in Bihar?
This is last of a two-part series which looks at RJD’s political predicament in Bihar. The first part explained the 2024 results in Bihar from RJD’s perspective
Published on Jun 28, 2024 10:30 AM IST
Number Theory: What do the 2024 results mean for the RJD in Bihar?
This is first of a two-part series which looks at RJD’s political predicament in Bihar. The second part will look at past election results in Bihar.
Published on Jun 24, 2024 08:14 AM IST
Number Theory: How do the 2024 victory margins compare with past elections?
The 2024 results have taken India back to the era of coalition governments with no single party having a majority of its own
Updated on Jun 08, 2024 12:23 PM IST
How INDIA bloc constituents fared in LS polls
The member parties of the alliance failed to reach a seat-sharing arrangement mainly in the states of West Bengal, Kerala, and Punjab
Updated on Jun 06, 2024 08:37 AM IST
How Akhilesh, not Tejashwi, won Mandal battle
Mandal vs Kamandal battle in UP and Bihar shifts in 2024. NDA dominates Bihar but faces major loss in UP. Charts explain the divergence.
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 04:11 AM IST
How Congress regained prominence in Punjab
To be sure, the Congress’s performance can also be ascribed to its ability to win back its vote share in selected pockets of the state
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 08:20 AM IST
Explaining Cong’s bittersweet result in K’taka LS polls
The Congress added eight seats to its 2019 tally but the results are a let down from the party’s massive assembly election victory in May 2023
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 07:56 AM IST
How did the Congress bounce back in Punjab?
In 2022, AAP won a three-fourth majority in assembly elections in Punjab. Congress, which was in power in the state, was reduced to a seat share of just 23%
Updated on Jun 04, 2024 11:25 PM IST
Underlying threads behind BJP’s 2019, 2024 election results
Most exit polls have predicted a third term for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
Updated on Jun 02, 2024 01:10 AM IST
Highest number of intra-alliance fights for both camps in phase 7
There are overall 92 candidates from INDIA in this phase, with intra-alliance conflicts in 29 of 57 PCs
Updated on Jun 01, 2024 07:58 AM IST
Number Theory: Decoding BJP’s political fortunes in Uttar Pradesh in 5 charts
BJP is the only political party in Uttar Pradesh to have crossed the 30% vote share threshold since the 1990s.
Published on May 31, 2024 07:56 AM IST
Number Theory: SAD and its importance in Punjab's poll contest
The SAD fought the 2022 assembly elections on its own after walking out of the National Democratic Alliance on the issues of three contentious farm laws.
Published on May 28, 2024 07:47 AM IST
Decoding the diverging INDIA, NDA alliance equations in latest phase
The single biggest source of intra-alliance conflicts for INDIA bloc is the lack of a formal seat-sharing deal.
Updated on May 25, 2024 04:31 AM IST
Number Theory: Can Congress stage a comeback in Haryana?
The BJP’s vote share in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in Haryana was a massive 58%, the second highest in the history of the state.
Updated on May 24, 2024 09:08 AM IST
Number Theory: The caste calculus of NDA and INDIA in Uttar Pradesh
Have the NDA and the INDIA bloc fielded candidates from the same or different caste category/castes in parliamentary constituencies?
Published on May 22, 2024 09:08 AM IST
Lok Sabha elections: Understanding NDA, INDIA bloc’s arithmetic in phase 5
INDIA bloc faces intra-alliance conflicts, especially in West Bengal. NDA alliance remains seamless.
Updated on May 20, 2024 04:56 AM IST
Nishant Ranjan, New Delhi
Number Theory: The JD(U) risk to the NDA in Bihar
How much will the JD(U) matter for the NDA’s performance in Bihar in these elections? Here are three charts which answer this question
Updated on May 15, 2024 09:29 AM IST
The contrasting INDIA, NDA alliance equations in Phase 4 of Lok Sabha elections
To be sure, even the intra-alliance conflicts in INDIA are largely notional outside the eight parliamentary constituencies in West Bengal.
Updated on May 13, 2024 07:54 AM IST
Number Theory: Understanding the Parliamentary, state contests in Andhra Pradesh
Was YSRCP’s growth at the cost of the TDP a result of the TDP parting ways with the BJP, and will this reverse with the TDP and BJP joining hands again?
Updated on May 09, 2024 08:32 AM IST
How cohesive are NDA, INDIA blocs in third phase of Lok Sabha elections?
Like the first two phases of the 2024 elections, the Congress-led INDIA bloc will contest the third phase in a less cohesive manner than the BJP-led NDA .
Updated on May 07, 2024 03:43 AM IST
Number Theory: Regional dynamics in West Bengal politics
Even a small swing of voters from the TMC to BJP in Burdwan and Junglemahal sub-regions could help the BJP reclaim its 2019 advantage in these two regions.
Updated on May 02, 2024 08:51 AM IST
Lok Sabha polls: EC releases voter turnout data; most regions see dip
EC released disaggregated voter turnout data, which showed that 84% of parliamentary constituencies saw declines of varying magnitude in turnout figures
Updated on May 01, 2024 07:53 AM IST
INDIA bloc, NDA less cohesive in 2nd phase of Lok Sabha elections
In the second phase of national elections, the BJP-led NDA shows more cohesion than the Congress-led INDIA, with internal conflicts in several constituencies.
Updated on Apr 26, 2024 04:26 AM IST
Nishant Ranjan, New Delhi