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Nishant Ranjan
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Decoding the diverging INDIA, NDA alliance equations in latest phase

The single biggest source of intra-alliance conflicts for INDIA bloc is the lack of a formal seat-sharing deal.

Congress leader Rahul Gandhi and Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav in Phulpur on May 19.
Updated on May 25, 2024 04:31 AM IST

Number Theory: Can Congress stage a comeback in Haryana?

The BJP’s vote share in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in Haryana was a massive 58%, the second highest in the history of the state.

For representational purposes only. (HT File Photo)
Updated on May 24, 2024 09:08 AM IST

Number Theory: The caste calculus of NDA and INDIA in Uttar Pradesh

Have the NDA and the INDIA bloc fielded candidates from the same or different caste category/castes in parliamentary constituencies?

An elderly voter shows his ink-marked finger after casting his ballot in Etawah, Uttar Pradesh.(ANI Photo)
Published on May 22, 2024 09:08 AM IST

Lok Sabha elections: Understanding NDA, INDIA bloc’s arithmetic in phase 5

INDIA bloc faces intra-alliance conflicts, especially in West Bengal. NDA alliance remains seamless.

PM Narendra Modi and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi(File)
Updated on May 20, 2024 04:56 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: The JD(U) risk to the NDA in Bihar

How much will the JD(U) matter for the NDA’s performance in Bihar in these elections? Here are three charts which answer this question

Janata Dal United
Updated on May 15, 2024 09:29 AM IST

The contrasting INDIA, NDA alliance equations in Phase 4 of Lok Sabha elections

To be sure, even the intra-alliance conflicts in INDIA are largely notional outside the eight parliamentary constituencies in West Bengal.

In the 96 PCs voting today, the NDA has fielded 97 candidates across 95 PCs, with a notional intra-alliance conflict in just two PCs. (AP)
Updated on May 13, 2024 07:54 AM IST

Number Theory: Understanding the Parliamentary, state contests in Andhra Pradesh

Was YSRCP’s growth at the cost of the TDP a result of the TDP parting ways with the BJP, and will this reverse with the TDP and BJP joining hands again?

India General Elections 2024 Live: A finger of a voter is marked with indelible ink after casting a ballot at a polling station during the third phase of voting for national elections in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India, on Tuesday, May 7.(Prakash Singh/Bloomberg)
Updated on May 09, 2024 08:32 AM IST

How cohesive are NDA, INDIA blocs in third phase of Lok Sabha elections?

Like the first two phases of the 2024 elections, the Congress-led INDIA bloc will contest the third phase in a less cohesive manner than the BJP-led NDA .

Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Jana Sena Party chief and NDA candidate Pawan Kalyan, BJP Rajahmundry candidate Daggubati Purandeswari and others greet the gathering during a NDA election rally in Rajahmundry on Monday. (ANI)
Updated on May 07, 2024 03:43 AM IST

Number Theory: Regional dynamics in West Bengal politics

Even a small swing of voters from the TMC to BJP in Burdwan and Junglemahal sub-regions could help the BJP reclaim its 2019 advantage in these two regions.

Representational image.
Updated on May 02, 2024 08:51 AM IST

Lok Sabha polls: EC releases voter turnout data; most regions see dip

EC released disaggregated voter turnout data, which showed that 84% of parliamentary constituencies saw declines of varying magnitude in turnout figures

Phase 1 saw a voter turnout of 66.14% while the voter turnout was 66.71% in Phase 2, according to the ECI data released on Tuesday. (ANI)
Updated on May 01, 2024 07:53 AM IST

INDIA bloc, NDA less cohesive in 2nd phase of Lok Sabha elections

In the second phase of national elections, the BJP-led NDA shows more cohesion than the Congress-led INDIA, with internal conflicts in several constituencies.

People gather to attend the campaign rally for Lok Sabha Elections by Defence Rajnath Singh in Greater Noida on April 23.(Sunil Ghosh / Hindustan Times)
Updated on Apr 26, 2024 04:26 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: How socially representative is Bihar’s candidature?

The data shows that the NDA has a bigger share of candidates from upper castes (Rajput, Bhumihar, Kayasth and Brahmin) and EBCs than the INDIA block.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar.(Santosh Kumar/HT file photo)
Published on Apr 25, 2024 02:16 PM IST

Number Theory: What is at stake in today's voting?

After Friday’s polling, the casting of votes will have concluded in almost one-fifth of India’s 543 PCs.

Election officials set up a polling booth at a school in Tamil Nadu.(Reuters)
Published on Apr 19, 2024 09:04 AM IST

Lok Sabha elections: What does the NDA-INDIA contest look like in Phase 1?

As far as the parties in the INDIA bloc are concerned, they have put up 114 candidates in the 102 PCs which are going to polls in this phase.

Glimpses of the election preparations in Gadchiroli on Thursday. (PIB)
Updated on Apr 19, 2024 07:10 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: How the electorate has changed over the years

This is the first of a two-part data journalism series on voters in 2024 general elections. The 2nd part will look at the economic status of first-time voters.

An election official marks the finger of a senior citizen with indelible ink in Bikaner, Rajasthan.(PTI Photo)
Published on Apr 17, 2024 10:13 AM IST

Number Theory: How the electoral math in Punjab has changed since 2019

What has made the political situation even more complicated is that the BJP and the SAD have parted ways

Punjab is set for a four-cornered contest in 2024. (HT Photo)
Published on Apr 15, 2024 08:59 AM IST

Number Theory: Four questions which will define the 2024 elections

Here are four charts that describe the four questions the results of this election will answer.

Workers remove political banners after the Model Code of Conduct was enforced following the announcement of the schedule of Lok Sabha elections, in Lucknow,(PTI)
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:35 AM IST

Can BJP raise its Lok Sabha tally despite skewed regional showings?

Because the BJP has a big regional skew in its performance, this is an important consideration for the BJP’s electoral math in the 2024 elections.

In any election, the best metric to measure whether or not a party has increased popular support, is the vote share number. (ANI)
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:36 AM IST

Four questions that will define the 2024 elections

Will the BJP be able to meet its seat target, will the Congress improve its tally — these are among the key questions the LS elections could answer

HT Image
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 05:56 AM IST

Number Theory: What is the AAP’s core politics?

The AAP’s decision to have an alliance with the Congress in Delhi will make it relatively immune to the voter flight towards the Congress

Chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, PWD minister Atishi and AAP leader Somnath Bharti at a ceremony to open a flyover near Moti Nagar in New Delhi on Wednesday,(HT Photo/Sanchit Khanna)
Published on Mar 13, 2024 07:08 PM IST

Number Theory: What will a BJP-BJD alliance mean in Odisha?

The BJD is perhaps the only regional political party in a major Indian state where the party's leadership will not be passed on to someone within the family

Prime Minister Narendra Modi being welcomed by Odisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik upon his arrival at Chandikhol, in Jajpur district, on March 5(PTI)
Updated on Mar 08, 2024 09:18 PM IST

Number Theory: Political and social battles that women in India fight

Women are still forced to shoulder a disproportionate share of household responsibilities. This unfair burden doesn't disappear with education or rise in income

Women display their voter's identity card in Rajasthan, 2023. (AP Photo)
Published on Mar 08, 2024 09:01 AM IST

The limits of anti-Congress politics

The first non-Congress government at the Centre was sworn in soon after Emergency, in 1977. It lasted less than three years. What followed was a rather misleading triumph for the Congress, however. The 1984 election would, in fact, mark the end of single-party dominance for a long time in India.

Election workers count ballot papers. (HT Photo)
Updated on Apr 05, 2024 01:37 PM IST

The making and unmaking of Indira Gandhi

Let three charts narrate the story of one of the most influential politicans in India's modern history.

Indira Gandhi studies a board bearing election results. (HT Photo)
Updated on Apr 05, 2024 01:35 PM IST

Number Theory: What explains BJP’s love for Charan Singh?

Charan Singh began his political career in the Congress party and only parted ways with it after the 1967 elections when he was not made the chief minister.

Former prime minister Chaudhary Charan Singh.(File)
Published on Feb 21, 2024 01:42 PM IST

Number Theory: Can the BJP win 370 seats in Lok Sabha polls?

One way to answer this question is to look at how much the BJP will have to gain compared to previous elections to achieve this target.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi predicted on Monday that the NDA will cross the 400 mark in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.(HT File Photo/Sanchit Khanna)
Updated on Feb 07, 2024 12:32 AM IST

Number Theory: Will Hemant Soren’s ST pitch aid JMM prospects?

The BJP performed much better than the JMM even in ST-reserved Lok Sabha constituencies during the 2019 general elections

Jharkhand CM Champai Soren (left) with Hemant Soren (centre) in Ranchi on Monday. (ANI Photo)
Updated on Feb 06, 2024 07:39 AM IST

Number Theory: Will the BSP play a role in this year's elections?

With the BJP becoming a dominant party, a lot of the non-SC support, and perhaps even non-Jatav SC support the BSP enjoyed, has gone back to the BJP

BSP chief Mayawati at a press conference on her birthday in Lucknow on Monday.(ANI Photo)
Updated on Jan 16, 2024 08:34 AM IST

Number Theory: A look at urban migration amid language riots in India

Is fear of migrants taking over the most lucrative segments of Karnataka’s economy fuelling such violence in India’s biggest urban centres?

Activists of the Karnataka Rakshana Vedike during a rally over the 60% Kannada sign board rules, in Bengaluru on December 27, 2023.(PTI)
Updated on Jan 05, 2024 09:39 AM IST
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