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Nishant Ranjan
Articles by Nishant Ranjan

Number Theory: How socially representative is Bihar’s candidature?

The data shows that the NDA has a bigger share of candidates from upper castes (Rajput, Bhumihar, Kayasth and Brahmin) and EBCs than the INDIA block.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar.(Santosh Kumar/HT file photo)
Published on Apr 25, 2024 02:16 PM IST

Number Theory: What is at stake in today's voting?

After Friday’s polling, the casting of votes will have concluded in almost one-fifth of India’s 543 PCs.

Election officials set up a polling booth at a school in Tamil Nadu.(Reuters)
Published on Apr 19, 2024 09:04 AM IST

Lok Sabha elections: What does the NDA-INDIA contest look like in Phase 1?

As far as the parties in the INDIA bloc are concerned, they have put up 114 candidates in the 102 PCs which are going to polls in this phase.

Glimpses of the election preparations in Gadchiroli on Thursday. (PIB)
Updated on Apr 19, 2024 07:10 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: How the electorate has changed over the years

This is the first of a two-part data journalism series on voters in 2024 general elections. The 2nd part will look at the economic status of first-time voters.

An election official marks the finger of a senior citizen with indelible ink in Bikaner, Rajasthan.(PTI Photo)
Published on Apr 17, 2024 10:13 AM IST

Number Theory: How the electoral math in Punjab has changed since 2019

What has made the political situation even more complicated is that the BJP and the SAD have parted ways

Punjab is set for a four-cornered contest in 2024. (HT Photo)
Published on Apr 15, 2024 08:59 AM IST

Number Theory: Four questions which will define the 2024 elections

Here are four charts that describe the four questions the results of this election will answer.

Workers remove political banners after the Model Code of Conduct was enforced following the announcement of the schedule of Lok Sabha elections, in Lucknow,(PTI)
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:35 AM IST

Can BJP raise its Lok Sabha tally despite skewed regional showings?

Because the BJP has a big regional skew in its performance, this is an important consideration for the BJP’s electoral math in the 2024 elections.

In any election, the best metric to measure whether or not a party has increased popular support, is the vote share number. (ANI)
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:36 AM IST

Four questions that will define the 2024 elections

Will the BJP be able to meet its seat target, will the Congress improve its tally — these are among the key questions the LS elections could answer

HT Image
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 05:56 AM IST

Number Theory: What is the AAP’s core politics?

The AAP’s decision to have an alliance with the Congress in Delhi will make it relatively immune to the voter flight towards the Congress

Chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, PWD minister Atishi and AAP leader Somnath Bharti at a ceremony to open a flyover near Moti Nagar in New Delhi on Wednesday,(HT Photo/Sanchit Khanna)
Published on Mar 13, 2024 07:08 PM IST

Number Theory: What will a BJP-BJD alliance mean in Odisha?

The BJD is perhaps the only regional political party in a major Indian state where the party's leadership will not be passed on to someone within the family

Prime Minister Narendra Modi being welcomed by Odisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik upon his arrival at Chandikhol, in Jajpur district, on March 5(PTI)
Updated on Mar 08, 2024 09:18 PM IST

Number Theory: Political and social battles that women in India fight

Women are still forced to shoulder a disproportionate share of household responsibilities. This unfair burden doesn't disappear with education or rise in income

Women display their voter's identity card in Rajasthan, 2023. (AP Photo)
Published on Mar 08, 2024 09:01 AM IST

The limits of anti-Congress politics

The first non-Congress government at the Centre was sworn in soon after Emergency, in 1977. It lasted less than three years. What followed was a rather misleading triumph for the Congress, however. The 1984 election would, in fact, mark the end of single-party dominance for a long time in India.

Election workers count ballot papers. (HT Photo)
Updated on Apr 05, 2024 01:37 PM IST

The making and unmaking of Indira Gandhi

Let three charts narrate the story of one of the most influential politicans in India's modern history.

Indira Gandhi studies a board bearing election results. (HT Photo)
Updated on Apr 05, 2024 01:35 PM IST

Number Theory: What explains BJP’s love for Charan Singh?

Charan Singh began his political career in the Congress party and only parted ways with it after the 1967 elections when he was not made the chief minister.

Former prime minister Chaudhary Charan Singh.(File)
Published on Feb 21, 2024 01:42 PM IST

Number Theory: Can the BJP win 370 seats in Lok Sabha polls?

One way to answer this question is to look at how much the BJP will have to gain compared to previous elections to achieve this target.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi predicted on Monday that the NDA will cross the 400 mark in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.(HT File Photo/Sanchit Khanna)
Updated on Feb 07, 2024 12:32 AM IST

Number Theory: Will Hemant Soren’s ST pitch aid JMM prospects?

The BJP performed much better than the JMM even in ST-reserved Lok Sabha constituencies during the 2019 general elections

Jharkhand CM Champai Soren (left) with Hemant Soren (centre) in Ranchi on Monday. (ANI Photo)
Updated on Feb 06, 2024 07:39 AM IST

Number Theory: Will the BSP play a role in this year's elections?

With the BJP becoming a dominant party, a lot of the non-SC support, and perhaps even non-Jatav SC support the BSP enjoyed, has gone back to the BJP

BSP chief Mayawati at a press conference on her birthday in Lucknow on Monday.(ANI Photo)
Updated on Jan 16, 2024 08:34 AM IST

Number Theory: A look at urban migration amid language riots in India

Is fear of migrants taking over the most lucrative segments of Karnataka’s economy fuelling such violence in India’s biggest urban centres?

Activists of the Karnataka Rakshana Vedike during a rally over the 60% Kannada sign board rules, in Bengaluru on December 27, 2023.(PTI)
Updated on Jan 05, 2024 09:39 AM IST

Number Theory: 4 charts that capture 2024’s biggest political questions

The BJP’s first full-term government at the Centre was formed after the 1999 elections. That victory came on the back of a broad-based alliance.

A voting machine on display before polls. (HT File Photo)
Published on Jan 01, 2024 10:25 AM IST

Number Theory: Are state poll verdicts becoming clearer now?

Twenty-seven of 30 state elections (90%) from 2019 to 2023 ended in a clear verdict

There has been no change since 1978 in the probability of a clear verdict in elections to 10 assemblies(Agencies)
Updated on Dec 21, 2023 01:14 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: Decoding BJP’s improved showing in state elections

The BJP’s record in the last two Lok Sabha elections continues to be better than its performance in state elections in most cases

A long-term analysis of BJP’s state election performance suggests that it has improved its performance in them after 2014.(PTI)
Updated on Dec 19, 2023 01:11 AM IST

Number Theory: Why is 2023 different from 2018? And what of 2024?

The Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) has won elections in three out of the four states for which results were declared on Sunday.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi being felicitated by top BJP leaders after the assembly election results on Sunday.
Published on Dec 04, 2023 07:44 AM IST

Assembly polls: The inability to retain mandate haunts Congress

The Congress’s loss in Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh this time is symptomatic of a bigger crisis facing the party.

Supporters of Congress celebrate victory for their party in Telangana state elections in Hyderabad on Sunday. (AP)
Updated on Dec 04, 2023 02:12 AM IST

Decoding the mechanics of the Congress win in Telangana

BRS has lost almost ten percentage points in vote share between 2018 and 2023 which exactly how much Congress has gained in the state between the two elections.

Telangana Congress chief A Revanth Reddy with party workers in Hyderabad. (PTI)
Updated on Dec 04, 2023 02:20 AM IST

Number Theory: Results may go beyond states that went to polls

The results of the assembly elections in the states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Telangana will be announced today

MP election results 2023: A polling official puts a mark with indelible ink on the finger of a voter prior to casting her vote at a polling booth for the Madhya Pradesh Assembly elections.(ANI)
Published on Dec 03, 2023 07:20 AM IST

Number Theory: Will Telangana elect BRS for the third time?

An HT analysis of past results shows that any opposition party will have to really outperform its previous best

File image(PTI)
Updated on Nov 30, 2023 07:53 AM IST

Number Theory: The importance of Scheduled Tribe vote for the BJP

Here are the some charts that explain the importance of the ST outreach by the Prime Minister

ANI Photo
Published on Nov 29, 2023 07:55 AM IST

Rajasthan’s electoral contest explained

A look at some charts that explain the nature of the electoral battle taking place on November 25

Polling for the assembly elections in Rajasthan will take place on November 25.
Published on Nov 24, 2023 09:14 PM IST

Number Theory: The largest of the five-phase poll cycle

What is at stake in the election today?

Representative image(HT_PRINT)
Published on Nov 17, 2023 10:23 AM IST
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