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Pranjul Bhandari
Articles by Pranjul Bhandari

Plan for the looming El Niño trade-off

Even if the monsoon is poor, inflation may remain manageable. While this could hurt rural growth , fiscal spending can be employed to limit the pain there

India defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96% and 104% of a 50-year average of 89 cm for the entire four-month season. El Nino, a warming of ocean surface temperatures in the eastern and central Pacific that typically occurs every few years, is linked to crop damage, fires and flash floods.(File Photo)
Published on Jul 10, 2023 09:20 PM IST

Play it safe on the economy this year

Macro stability may be more important than high growth at this point, as it prepares the ground for growth to take off sustainably when global uncertainty subsides. Hence, a cautious policy will help India stabilise

The budgeted fall in the fiscal deficit is a positive, not just directly, but also indirectly. The negative fiscal impulse on growth is likely to put a lid on both the trade deficit and inflation (ANI)
Updated on Feb 07, 2023 08:46 AM IST

Why the Reserve Bank should not take it easy

Commodity prices are falling, but the inflation scare isn’t over. The combination of rate hikes and a competitive rupee could slow inflation, while keeping growth humming

believe that if RBI continues to press ahead with front-loaded rate tightening, instead of easing tightening efforts on the back of the recent fall in commodity prices, it can gain credibility points. (Mint Archives)
Published on Aug 03, 2022 09:08 PM IST

A year of choices with a ‘Bandersnatch’ finish

The choices India makes on the fiscal, monetary and reform front now will have a profound impact

Previously, we have found that growth slows in the quarter right before elections but rises sharply thereafter(Kalpak Pathak / Hindustan Times)
Published on Jan 27, 2019 08:23 AM IST
ByPranjul Bhandari
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