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Roshan Kishore

Roshan Kishore is the Data and Political Economy Editor at Hindustan Times. His weekly column for HT Premium Terms of Trade appears every Friday.

Articles by Roshan Kishore

Number Theory: 3 variants of BJP’s 2024 alliance playbook

A careful analysis of the BJP’s 2024 tactics suggests a mix of absolute confidence, calculated risks, and extreme risk-aversion.

Representational image.
Published on Mar 27, 2024 09:02 AM IST

Number Theory: More takeaways from matching of donors, parties for EB funding

Here are a few more interesting data points from the electoral bond data published so far

Representative Image
Updated on Mar 22, 2024 06:59 PM IST

Terms of Trade | Transparency is overrated in realpolitik in India

The fight for political transparency is important for India's institutions, but transparency is not the driving factor when it comes to political hegemony

Will the publication of electoral bonds change realpolitik in India? (AFP)
Published on Mar 22, 2024 03:52 PM IST

Number Theory: Four questions which will define the 2024 elections

Here are four charts that describe the four questions the results of this election will answer.

Workers remove political banners after the Model Code of Conduct was enforced following the announcement of the schedule of Lok Sabha elections, in Lucknow,(PTI)
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:35 AM IST

Four questions that will define the 2024 elections

Will the BJP be able to meet its seat target, will the Congress improve its tally — these are among the key questions the LS elections could answer

HT Image
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 05:56 AM IST

Number Theory: Making sense of latest CPI and WPI numbers

The numbers show that the future trajectory of inflation, and the prospect of an interest rate cut, is contingent on the prospect of farm prices coming down

A farmer harvests vegetables at Marh village, outskirts of Jammu.(AP FILE PHOTO)
Updated on Mar 14, 2024 07:34 PM IST

From coalition-dharma to coalition-karma for BJP’s allies

Unlike the Congress, which was lopsided in terms of caste and class, the BJP’s growth has been linked to the widening of Indian politics’ social base.

While the BJP is always happy to stitch new alliance, its alliance partners should not expect to have any kind of political agency, either ideological or organisational, which is greater in scope than what the average BJP rank and file enjoys.
Updated on Mar 14, 2024 06:48 PM IST

Number Theory: What is the AAP’s core politics?

The AAP’s decision to have an alliance with the Congress in Delhi will make it relatively immune to the voter flight towards the Congress

Chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, PWD minister Atishi and AAP leader Somnath Bharti at a ceremony to open a flyover near Moti Nagar in New Delhi on Wednesday,(HT Photo/Sanchit Khanna)
Published on Mar 13, 2024 07:08 PM IST

Number Theory: Deciphering the change of guard by BJP in Haryana

BJP may have strategically distanced itself from JJP to ensure that the regional party cuts into the Jat base of the Congress and damages it in the elections

Haryana CM Nayab Saini (centre) with Governor Bandaru Dattatraya and ML Khattar on Tuesday.
Published on Mar 13, 2024 08:43 AM IST

Inflation stays flat at 5.09% in February against 5.1% in January

India's CPI inflation remained stable at 5.1% in February, with food inflation rising slightly but offset by a slowdown in core and fuel inflation.

The overall CPI number is still above RBI’s target of 4%(Bloomberg)
Updated on Mar 13, 2024 01:52 AM IST

Opposition must revisit its economic approach if it wants to change the future

If the Opposition has to have a fighting chance against the BJP, it must fight the economic battles of the future — inequality and limited upward mobility

INDIA bloc held a meeting in Mumbai in September 2023 (HT PHOTO)
Published on Mar 08, 2024 04:42 PM IST

Number Theory: Political and social battles that women in India fight

Women are still forced to shoulder a disproportionate share of household responsibilities. This unfair burden doesn't disappear with education or rise in income

Women display their voter's identity card in Rajasthan, 2023. (AP Photo)
Published on Mar 08, 2024 09:01 AM IST

Number Theory: Why the political contest remains BJP vs Congress

There is something in BJP’s or Narendra Modi’s politics which is making people think that the BJP is a better party to rule at the national level than Congress

Representational image.
Published on Mar 06, 2024 09:08 AM IST

Number Theory: Understanding the Delhi budget — in three charts

While the 2024-25 BE expenditure is 1.47% more than the ₹74,900 crore spent in 2023-24 as per R.E. numbers, it's a reduction if compared to 2023-24 B.E. numbers

Delhi chief minister Arvind Kejriwal and finance minister Atishi address a joint press conference after the presentation of the Budget of the Delhi government at Vidhan Sabha on Monday. (ANI)
Updated on Mar 05, 2024 08:34 AM IST

Number Theory: A look at the complexity of India's politics, in 3 charts

India is ranked second (only after Sweden) among 24 countries in terms of satisfaction “with the way democracy is working” in the survey.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi after the BJP's victory in the 2019 general elections.(AP Photo)
Published on Mar 01, 2024 08:19 AM IST

India’s Q3 GDP bucks all estimates at 8.4% growth

GDP growth in the quarter ending December 2023 is 8.4%, almost two percentage points more than the 6.6% number predicted by a Bloomberg poll of economists

In terms of a sectoral growth performance, manufacturing and construction are among the best performers with annual growth rate of 8.5% and 10.7% respectively. (REUTERS/ FILE)
Published on Feb 29, 2024 11:30 PM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: What HCES tells us about rural-urban inequality

A section of rural India has caught up with its urban counterparts in terms of ownership of white goods, as per the 2015-16 and 2019-21 NFHS data.

A settlement of mixed population - urban and rural - in Pune. (Rahul Raut/HT Photo)
Published on Feb 29, 2024 08:49 AM IST

Terms of Trade | Will HCES findings change politics in India?

The inherent class tension in India’s political economy landscape will only increase going forward despite what happens to official poverty numbers

Markets left to themselves after the 1991 economic reforms have generated a lot of tailwinds for the incomes of classes with access to either material or intellectual capital in India.(AFP)
Published on Feb 29, 2024 08:00 AM IST

Number Theory: Why junking electoral bonds alone won't achieve much

This is the second of a two-part series on India’s political finance. The first part looked at how electoral bonds changed India’s political funding.

Representational image (AFP)
Published on Feb 28, 2024 08:22 AM IST

Number Theory: Poll bonds, their sway on India's political finance

This is the first of a two-part series on India’s political funding. The second part will look at problems at political funding at the grassroot level.

Representative Image.
Published on Feb 27, 2024 08:39 AM IST

Number Theory: India's consumption spending numbers explained in 4 charts

The slowest growth in average consumption spending was seen between the 1999-2000 and 2004-05 Consumption Expenditure Survey rounds.

Representational image.(Unsplash)
Published on Feb 26, 2024 08:25 AM IST

First consumption data released after 2011-2012

While declining food spending has been a long-term trend in CES data, this number has fallen below 50% for the first time in rural India

Representative Image. (File)
Updated on Feb 25, 2024 05:01 AM IST

Terms of Trade | Politics must fight unequal growth, but sincerely

Politics must criticize new-economy for failing to solve India's structural transformation problem, but first, it must uncouple from dirty capital

Bengaluru has led the country in all things IT and knowledge economy. Recently, the Karnataka government is asking MNCs to display local employees.(HT Photo)
Published on Feb 23, 2024 03:55 PM IST

Number Theory: How formidable is the SP-Congress alliance in UP?

The SP’s performance has been largely consistent in terms of vote share, unlike the Congress which has seen a long-term decline in vote share barring 2009.

Akhilesh Yadav and Rahul Gandhi
Published on Feb 23, 2024 09:28 AM IST

Number Theory: What explains BJP’s love for Charan Singh?

Charan Singh began his political career in the Congress party and only parted ways with it after the 1967 elections when he was not made the chief minister.

Former prime minister Chaudhary Charan Singh.(File)
Published on Feb 21, 2024 01:42 PM IST

Number Theory: Why market fundamentalists are equally wrong about agriculture

The data clearly shows that absolutely unregulated markets are not a silver bullet for the agrarian crisis in India

An improvement in agricultural incomes requires farmers to be organised into cooperatives so that they can increase their bargaining power in both input and output markets,(AFP FILE)
Updated on Feb 21, 2024 02:11 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Terms of Trade | India needs a White Paper on agriculture

Neither farmers' movements nor governments are fighting for issues which are critical to its long-term sustainability. Somebody needs to fill this vacuum

Farmers at the Punjab-Haryana Shambhu border during a protest march, in Patiala district, on Thursday. (PTI)(HT_PRINT)
Updated on Feb 16, 2024 02:27 PM IST

Number Theory: Understanding the issues ailing Indian agriculture

With both the public and private sector giving up on long-term investment in agriculture, the future of farming and food security in India is far from secure.

If Indian agriculture has to have a future, it needs to have a future-oriented policy outlook. (HT File)
Published on Feb 15, 2024 07:37 AM IST

Number Theory: Three charts that explain the farmers' demand for MSP guarantees

A mindless expansion of MSP operations without a critical look at their existing structure can do more bad than good.

Police use tear gas shells to disperse farmers during their 'Delhi Chalo' march at Punjab-Haryana Shambhu border, near Patiala.(PTI)
Published on Feb 13, 2024 07:51 PM IST
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