Roshan Kishore is the Data and Political Economy Editor at Hindustan Times. His weekly column for HT Premium Terms of Trade appears every Friday.
Articles by Roshan Kishore
Terms of Trade: The knowns and unknowns about Modi 3.0
The BJP is down from its 2019 tally, but it is much closer to political power even after the 2024 losses than it used to be in the Vajpayee years
Published on Jun 14, 2024 02:38 PM IST
HT interview: Capitalism’s crisis is that it’s not what it was meant to be, says Ruchir Sharma
Sharma says even though at the surface the American economy is doing relatively well, most Americans feel that the economy is moving in the wrong direction
Updated on Jun 14, 2024 06:16 AM IST
Roshan KishoreRoshan Kishore
Number Theory: Should BJP have taken consumer sentiment data by RBI seriously?
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Published on Jun 13, 2024 08:34 PM IST
Roshan Kishore, New Delhi
India logs fall in inequality between 2011-12 and 2022-23, says govt report
The HCE report provides detailed information on consumption expenditure trends after more than a decade, with the last report released in 2011-12
Updated on Jun 08, 2024 05:05 AM IST
Growth-inflation balance now favourable, says RBI
Analysts believe that the monsoon and the next government’s Budget will be the key factor which determines which interest rates start coming down
Updated on Jun 08, 2024 05:30 AM IST
Roshan Kishore, New Delhi
5 charts to summarise the results of 2024 Lok Sabha elections
The balance of power within the government will shift in favour of the allies rather than the centralised government which the BJP ran in 2014 and 2019
Updated on Jun 06, 2024 06:51 PM IST
Indian democracy’s epitaph writers and fairy tale weavers have lost, for now
Ask the BJP and it will tell you that all of Hindutva and anti-Muslim speeches were not enough to harvest a majority in the Lok Sabha nor a win in Ayodhya
Published on Jun 06, 2024 06:00 PM IST
Number Theory: Why was Modi's victory margin in Varanasi lower?
Rajiv Gandhi’s 1984 victory margin of 72.2% is the highest ever victory margin for a sitting prime minister contesting a Lok Sabha election.
Published on Jun 06, 2024 08:23 AM IST
How Akhilesh, not Tejashwi, won Mandal battle
Mandal vs Kamandal battle in UP and Bihar shifts in 2024. NDA dominates Bihar but faces major loss in UP. Charts explain the divergence.
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 04:11 AM IST
Explaining Cong’s bittersweet result in K’taka LS polls
The Congress added eight seats to its 2019 tally but the results are a let down from the party’s massive assembly election victory in May 2023
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 07:56 AM IST
Understanding TMC’s surprise 29-seat romp in West Bengal
TMC's big victory in West Bengal in 2021 assembly elections was due to gaining seats in all sub-regions compared to 2019.
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 07:23 AM IST
What explains the Congress’s bitter sweet result in Karnataka Lok Sabha polls
The BJP’s alliance with the Janata Dal (Secular) which might have led to a complete consolidation of the Vokkaliga vote behind the NDA.
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 05:18 AM IST
3 key factors to look at in today’s Lok Sabha results
Exit polls predict big win for BJP-led NDA in 2024 elections. Watch for trends in ENOP, BJP's performance in Tamil Nadu/Kerala, and impact on regional parties
Updated on Jun 04, 2024 08:21 AM IST
Number Theory: State of the economy – The opportunities and challenges
IMF projections suggest that India will account for 7% of the global GDP growth between 2020 and 2029.
Published on Jun 03, 2024 09:30 AM IST
How decade-long Modi regime has fared on growth indicators
Modi 2.0 has the lowest CAGR of GDP among all governments since Atal Bihari Vajpayee’s full-term government
Updated on Jun 01, 2024 05:57 AM IST
GDP grows 7.8% in March qtr, full-year reading 8.2%
Indian economy grew by 8.2% in FY 2023-24, surpassing expectations, with fiscal deficit at 5.6%. Despite technical factors, economy shows resilience.
Updated on Jun 01, 2024 05:39 AM IST
Roshan Kishore, New Delhi
Number Theory: Can BJP do a hat-trick of wins in all 7 Lok Sabha seats in Delhi?
Except in 1967, 1989 and 1991, the party that won a majority of parliamentary constituencies in Delhi always finished first in the Lok Sabha nationally.
Updated on May 30, 2024 02:22 PM IST
Number Theory: SAD and its importance in Punjab's poll contest
The SAD fought the 2022 assembly elections on its own after walking out of the National Democratic Alliance on the issues of three contentious farm laws.
Published on May 28, 2024 07:47 AM IST
Number Theory: Can Congress stage a comeback in Haryana?
The BJP’s vote share in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in Haryana was a massive 58%, the second highest in the history of the state.
Updated on May 24, 2024 09:08 AM IST
Terms of Trade | A state-wise breakup of the 2024 contest
This column will attempt a breakdown of the national contest into six groups of large states, which have at least ten parliamentary constituencies.
Published on May 23, 2024 02:50 AM IST
Can an elite-subaltern dialogue save the cause of secularism in India?
BJP’s current crop of leaders must be grateful to their predecessors for realising that the project of building a Hindu society had to be more representative
Published on May 17, 2024 09:21 PM IST
Number Theory: Can BJP pull off a massive win in Uttar Pradesh again?
Every election is a new test, and opposition alliances have been shifting continuously in Uttar Pradesh since 2014.
Published on May 17, 2024 08:55 AM IST
Number Theory: Why Maharashtra’s electoral math is complicated
If the BJP got 30% of their combined votes, the BJP alliance would win 22 parliamentary constituencies in the state.
Published on May 16, 2024 08:59 AM IST
HT Explains: A 5-point FAQ on the Lok Sabha battle in Bihar
Bihar will play an important role in determining whether the BJP and the NDA retain their 2019 parliamentary strength nationally
Updated on May 16, 2024 07:30 AM IST
Number Theory: The JD(U) risk to the NDA in Bihar
How much will the JD(U) matter for the NDA’s performance in Bihar in these elections? Here are three charts which answer this question
Updated on May 15, 2024 09:29 AM IST
Number Theory: Will Madhya Pradesh be a landslide for BJP once again?
In 2023 Madhya Pradesh assembly elections, BJP won a massive victory against Congress. Is BJP all set to replicate its victory in 2024 Lok Sabha elections?
Published on May 11, 2024 08:58 PM IST
Terms of Trade | What explains the BJP’s polarising campaign in these elections?
Whether the leadership succumbs to the temptation of using authoritarian tricks to push for dominance has been the central question in Indian democracy
Published on May 10, 2024 08:30 AM IST
Number Theory: In Maharashtra, how BJP traded uncertainty for influence
The problem for the both the BJP and every other party in the state is that nobody knows how much support the NCP and Shiv Sena have with the factions.
Published on May 08, 2024 08:40 AM IST
Number Theory: How BJP has changed Assam's political game
The Congress alliance’s seat share fell to just 21.4% in 2019 despite its vote share remaining relatively flat at 35.7%.
Published on May 03, 2024 09:37 AM IST
Number Theory: Regional dynamics in West Bengal politics
Even a small swing of voters from the TMC to BJP in Burdwan and Junglemahal sub-regions could help the BJP reclaim its 2019 advantage in these two regions.
Updated on May 02, 2024 08:51 AM IST