Articles by Ian Bremmer
In the Trump-Kim deal, China is the biggest winner
As US influence recedes with a partial drawdown of troops, China will gain another step toward becoming East Asia’s dominant diplomatic and economic player.

Published on May 12, 2018 03:49 PM IST
The turmoil in the US and Europe — including tech change and inequality — are crossing into the developing world
Where do all those energetic, ambitious young people go? The youth bulge we see in many developing countries can move from economic advantage to political threat as their path out of poverty is blocked. If they never join the active workforce, they will never have access to the education and training needed to earn 21st century jobs, and they know their children will fare no better

Updated on Apr 15, 2018 07:33 AM IST
Angela Merkel is beleaguered but she is far from finished
As she begins her fourth and final term as Germany’s chancellor, her party remains Germany’s strongest, and she is more popular than the party. Germany’s economy will continue to expand. Unfortunately, Europe and the world need more leadership than a frustrated and erratic Donald Trump and a beleaguered Angela Merkel can provide.

Updated on Mar 31, 2018 04:08 PM IST
Friction between the US and China is likely to last through 2018
Here’s the problem: Each side believes the other is more vulnerable. Trump officials believe that China needs continuous access to US markets to avoid a sharp economic slowdown that might provoke a political crisis. Chinese officials believe their president is much less vulnerable to pressure than Trump, who must listen to continuous complaints from US business leaders and face voters again soon enough

Updated on Feb 13, 2018 01:28 PM IST
As the US scales back on foreign policy interventions, China is stepping into the vacuum
As he begins his second five-year term, Xi has consolidated enough power at home to redefine China’s external environment and set new rules within it. His timing is perfect; China is stepping forward just at the moment that a politically embattled and distracted US president is scaling back US commitment to traditional allies and alliances. The United States has created a vacuum, and China stands ready to fill it

Published on Jan 20, 2018 06:22 PM IST
In 2018, regional security will matter most for war and peace
In the new year, we’ll begin to see more clearly that connections between politics, security, and our economies are changing more quickly and becoming more complex than we might have imagined when 2017 began

Published on Dec 29, 2017 06:42 PM IST
HTLS column by Ian Bremmer: Foreign policy rides on Modi’s charisma
PM Narendra Modi’s charisma, his determined push for economic development and his anti-corruption drive have made him broadly popular.

Updated on Nov 29, 2017 02:31 PM IST
African National Congress could well lose power in the next polls
The current government’s promises to turn things around don’t have much credibility. Jacob Zuma has survived nearly 800 separate charges of fraud, money-laundering, and graft, a court ruling that he violated the country’s constitution, multiple votes of no-confidence, and a rape trial. South Africa’s Central Bank governor has now called for a public investigation into ties between Zuma, business leaders, and a family of Indian businessmen known as the Guptas.

Updated on Oct 28, 2017 03:11 PM IST
The power of China’s chequebook shows in its rising global influence
Whether it is in Asia, Africa or Europe, China is using investment to get what it wants from countries and governments in need

Updated on Sep 25, 2017 10:00 AM IST
Is it too early to get optimistic about the European Union?
Germany under Angela Merkel and France under Emmanuel Macron are the bright spots, while developments in Italy, Turkey and Poland give cause for concern

Updated on Aug 12, 2017 09:35 PM IST
On climate change, immigration, federal states can oppose Trump’s ‘America First’
The Trump administration’s often rejectionist ‘America First’ approach to the rest of the world has given a new urgency for federal states and big cities in the US to strengthen ties with foreign governments, on issues like tackling climate change

Updated on Jul 13, 2017 04:31 PM IST
Who is the next leader of the free world, now that the US is not?
Who is leader of the free world today? Not Trump, the first US president since the 1930s who does not believe that international leadership is in the US national interest. Is it Europe? China?

Updated on Jun 20, 2017 04:10 PM IST
As North Korea grows more aggressive, Trump will have to figure out ways to handle it
Given claims of North Korea and Kim Jong-un having developed intercontinental ballistic missiles and nuclear warheads, Donald Trump will have to be very careful in dealing with the country

Published on May 24, 2017 01:28 PM IST
A Le Pen presidency could lead to a financial disaster in France, EU
Le Pen might not have majority support, but her voters seem much more motivated than those of any of her rivals. Last November, Donald Trump won support from just 26% of eligible US voters. Given the lukewarm support for Hillary Clinton and the decision by millions of Americans to stay home, Trump’s passionate 26% proved just enough for victory

Updated on Apr 17, 2017 10:28 PM IST
It’s not just Trump, it’s the economy
Economic frustration will make the US an even less predictable international actor, because Trump has persuaded his core supporters that outsiders — China and Mexico, in particular — are to blame for “stealing” US jobs

Updated on Mar 20, 2017 09:05 PM IST
On Donald Trump’s immigrant ban, the world is seeing red
Trump faces questions at home about why he chose to include only countries in the region where he owns no hotels, but an attack on Americans by one mentally unstable citizen of another Muslim-majority country will generate pressure on Trump to extend his ban.

Updated on Feb 18, 2017 07:45 PM IST
Trump’s ‘Independent America’ is the biggest global political risk in 2017
Donald Trump insists that the world’s sole superpower will spend its resources only in pursuit of core US interests — without regard for the consequences for everyone else. This is not isolationism. Instead, this is an extreme unilateralism grounded in Trump’s conviction that other governments are invoking traditional ties and common values to take advantage of US taxpayers

Updated on Jan 04, 2017 12:40 AM IST
Clouds of uncertainty hover over Trump’s foreign policy
US president-elect Donald Trump’s lack of experience in government or military service is bound to reflect on his politics. Initial indicators show that his approach towards Europe, Asia, West Asia and Latin America not very encouraging

Published on Dec 16, 2016 03:17 PM IST
Make America great again: It’s over to Donald Trump
For the next four years, Donald Trump will be hounded by people who find his mere presence in the Oval Office anathema to what they believe America stands for. To be fair, Hillary Clinton would be facing a similarly divided and impassioned electorate, perhaps without a sympathetic Congress backing her

Updated on Nov 18, 2016 12:52 AM IST
Why a Trump presidency is bad news for the US and world
Combine Donald Trump’s willingness to overturn assumptions about the use of American power with a relatively unknown cast of supporting characters and it’s easy to see why much of the world will be holding its breath till November 8

Updated on Oct 21, 2016 11:13 PM IST
Headlines magnify many of the crises we are facing today
The risks of a conflict in the South China Sea, of a Moscow-Kiev face-off and of Donald Trump becoming US president are highly exaggerated

Updated on Sep 08, 2016 09:23 PM IST
Luck smiles on Russian President: Why Putin has many reasons to cheer
Recent world events are going in favour of Russian President Vladimir Putin. He is also an accomplished political opportunist who is no doubt looking for creative new ways to seize the day

Updated on Aug 07, 2016 11:48 PM IST
Trump is unlikely to have a Brexit feel in November
British voters who support Brexit tend to be white working-class citizens alarmed by immigration, anxious over the impact of globalisation on their job prospects, and angry at politicians who don’t seem to care. But the US is a much more diverse country than the UK

Updated on Jul 23, 2016 11:08 PM IST
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