Rajasthan Exit Polls 2023 Highlights: Pollsters give edge to BJP; Congress close

Congress: 89-113

BJP: 77-101

Others: 2-16

Congress: 65-75

BJP: 115-130

Others: 12-19

Amid the exit poll projections, BJP MP Rajyavardhan Singh Rathore exudes confidence in the party's triumph in Rajasthan. Rathore says, “People want transformation. I am sure the BJP is forming the government with a full majority in Rajasthan.”

Referring to the projected close contest, he adds, “The competition is limited to the exit polls only. The results of Dec 3 will be in favour of the BJP.”

The P-Marq poll said BJP will win 105-125 seats in Rajasthan with 42.2 per cent vote share and Congress 69-81 seats with 39.7 per cent votes. It said others are poised to get 5-15 seats with 18.1 per cent vote, it said.

Congress: 90-100

BJP: 100-110

Others: 5-15

Congress: 62-85

BJP: 100-122

Others: 14-15

Congress: 56-72

BJP: 108-128

Others: 13-21

Congress: 86-106

BJP: 80-100

Others: 9-18

Congress leader Gourav Vallabh expressed positivity about the voting trends in Rajasthan. Vallabh remarked, "There has been positive voting in Rajasthan, and we've received support from all religious communities." However, his optimistic outlook doesn't align with the projections of the exit polls.

Jist-TIF-NAI predicts that the revolving door tradition will continue in Rajasthan, with the BJP likely to win 110 seats while the Congress party getting restricted to 70 seats.

In the latest exit poll projections for the Rajasthan Assembly Elections, Republic-MATRIZE indicates a potential lead for the BJP with a substantial 43.7% vote share. The Congress trails closely with a 38.6% vote share, while other parties and independent candidates collectively secure 17.7% of the vote share.

Breaking news from the India Today Axis My India exit poll results for Rajasthan! The data indicates a hung assembly with the Congress projected to secure 86-106 seats, while the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to claim 80-100 seats. The other parties and independents are anticipated to garner 9-18 seats.

Times Now ETG's predictions are in line with most of the projections, with Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) estimated to win 108 to 128 seats in Rajasthan assembly elections. Meanwhile, the Congress is projected to secure 56 to 72 seats. The other smaller parties and independent candidates are expected to bag 13 to 21 seats.

The exit poll predictions from Jan Ki Baat project BJP as the winner in Rajasthan assembly elections with a substantial 100-122 seats, while the Congress is expected to secure 62-85 seats. The remaining 14-15 seats are likely to be grabbed by other parties and independent candidates.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is forecasted to take the lead in Rajasthan with a 104 seats, as per CVoter projection. The Congress, on the other hand, is expected to secure 81 seats. The remaining 14 seats are anticipated to be claimed by other parties.

In the 200-member-strong Rajasthan assembly, a party or alliance should cross the half-way mark of 100 to form the government in the state.

Polstrat predicts a robust performance by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the Rajasthan assembly elections, projecting them to secure 100-110 seats. The Congress, not far behind, is estimated to win 90-100 seats, setting the stage for a closely fought battle.

Meanwhile, the India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll projects a nail-biting competition in Chhattisgarh, giving a slight edge to the Congress party. The exit poll projections indicate that the Congress is likely to secure 40-50 seats, while the BJP closely follows with estimates ranging from 36-46 seats.

In the lead-up to the Rajasthan elections, the BJP appears to be crafting a "golden triangle" strategy, aligning the political forces of Delhi, Agra (Uttar Pradesh), and Jaipur. This strategic triangle involves the influential trio of Narendra Modi, Yogi Adityanath in UP, and the Rajasthan counterpart, Mahanth Balaknath, a Lok Sabha MP contesting from Tijara assembly constituency. Dig deeper

The Congress strategy in Rajasthan assembly elections hinges on the support of the 3Ms – Meenas, Malis (the gardener community to which Gehlot belongs), and Muslims – collectively constituting around 23% of the state's population. Dig deeper

Despite being a popular leader, Gehlot faces challenges from rogue local leaders within his own party, a consequence of the factional tussle with Sachin Pilot. This internal strife has left Gehlot navigating a delicate balance, allowing local leaders leeway to maintain party unity but risking local discontent. Dig deeper

In the intricate political landscape of Rajasthan, the Gujjars emerge as a pivotal focus for the opposition. As one of the dominant communities in the state, their aspirations, particularly regarding caste quotas, have been a longstanding challenge. Both the BJP and Congress, in power since 2007, have grappled with expanding reservations, encountering legal obstacles following the 2007 quota protests that claimed 72 lives. Within the Gujjar heartland, discussions about the caste survey echo, intertwined with apprehensions about Sachin Pilot's political trajectory. Congress supporters envision increased reservations benefiting the community, while BJP advocates express concerns about potential divisions in Hindu society. Dig deeper

Rajasthan chief minister Ashok Gehlot slammed the “frightening language” used by BJP leaders, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Union Home Minister Amit Shah, during the election campaign. “It was the language of vengeance and creating tension,” he said.

There has been a trend of alternating government since 1998, with the power shifting between Congress and BJP every five years. BJP would like the trend to continue, at least for the time, while Congress is aiming to buck this trend this time.